Analysis

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Price and energy
XAUUSD from 4,455.88 to 4,436.19, down 0.44%
Market Energy Bull Bias 58.5% to Bear Bias -46.5%, down 105.0 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.21%0.20%0.04%0.44%
Energy7.344.70.9105.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.21% 0.20% 0.04% 0.44% 7.3 44.7 0.9 105.0
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.44% — higher than 95% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 105.0 pts — higher than 99% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias XAUUSD 1H

Sample: 69,379 1H candles from 2015-01-02 to 2026-09-11
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 5,377 times

When XAUUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then XAUUSD moved to higher Market State: 3,350 times62.3%
  • then XAUUSD moved to lower Market State: 2,027 times37.7%

Current XAUUSD market energy: -46.49%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 25.61%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 13.51%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

XAUUSD · H1 · 2026-08-31 12:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
58.5%
Bull Bias
-46.5%
Bear Bias
-90.0%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Observing the completed 1H candle, XAUUSD in trend energy leaning Bear.

Market movement just recorded on the 1H timeframe, Market Energy dropped -105% this candle, currently -46.5% (previous candle 58.5%).

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XAUUSD Market Energy ranged from -97.3 to +90.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did XAUUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 19:00 on 31-08-2026 closed, XAUUSD was at 4,436.19, down 0.44% from the previous candle (4,455.88). Market Energy was -46.5%, down 105.0 points from 58.5%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did XAUUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

XAUUSD closed at 4,436.19, down 0.44% from the previous 1H candle (4,455.88). This drop is larger than 95% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for XAUUSD, across 45,392 candles since 2019.

How did XAUUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 105 percentage points from the previous candle — from 58.5% to -46.5%. This drop is larger than 99% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for XAUUSD.

Do XAUUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was XAUUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had XAUUSD at 58.5%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, XAUUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Bear Bias.

Where does XAUUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -46.5%, XAUUSD is 25.61 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 13.51 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -79.5%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -64.3%. Against this backdrop, XAUUSD (Bear Bias, -46.5%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -11.2%. XAUUSD energy is currently below DXY by 35.3 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAUUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

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