Analysis

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Price and energy
XAUUSD from 4,108.17 to 4,110.11, up 0.05%
Market Energy Bull Critical 68.9% to Bull Critical 70.5%, up 1.6 pts
Up candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price1.06%0.32%0.22%0.05%
Energy64.110.14.91.6
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
1.06% 0.32% 0.22% 0.05% 64.1 10.1 4.9 1.6
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.05% — higher than 29% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 1.6 pts — higher than 12% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical XAUUSD 1H

Sample: 69,493 1H candles from 2015-01-02 to 2026-09-18
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 3,613 times

When XAUUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then XAUUSD moved to higher Market State: 1,123 times31.1%
  • then XAUUSD moved to lower Market State: 2,490 times68.9%

Current XAUUSD market energy: 70.53%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 3.97%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 10.53%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

XAUUSD · H1 · 2026-07-30 16:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
68.9%
Bull Critical
70.5%
Bull Critical
61.7%
Bull Critical
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Following the completion of the 1H candle, XAUUSD within the Bull Critical zone.

End-of-session energy readings on 1H, Energy delta +1.6%: Market Energy at 70.5%, previously 68.9%.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XAUUSD Market Energy ranged from -99.8 to +99.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did XAUUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 23:00 on 30-07-2026 closed, XAUUSD was at 4,110.11, up 0.05% from the previous candle (4,108.17). Market Energy was 70.5%, up 1.6 points from 68.9%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did XAUUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

XAUUSD closed at 4,110.11, up 0.05% from the previous 1H candle (4,108.17). This rise is larger than 29% of past rises on the 1H timeframe for XAUUSD, across 44,890 candles since 2019.

How did XAUUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 1.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from 68.9% to 70.5%. This rise is larger than 12% of past rises on the 1H timeframe for XAUUSD.

Do XAUUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved up on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was XAUUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had XAUUSD at 68.9%, Bull Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does XAUUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 70.5%, XAUUSD is 3.97 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 10.53 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 84.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 75.9%. Against this backdrop, XAUUSD (Bull Critical, 70.5%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -90.6%. XAUUSD (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAUUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

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