Analysis

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Price and energy
XAUUSD from 4,049.67 to 4,061.6, up 0.29%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 83.7% to Bull Extreme 83.4%, down 0.3 pts
Up candle #4 in a rowEnergy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.37%0.22%0.07%0.29%
Energy5.615.22.90.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.37% 0.22% 0.07% 0.29% 5.6 15.2 2.9 0.3
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.29% — higher than 89% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy down 0.3 pts — higher than 2% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Extreme XAUUSD 1H

Sample: 69,468 1H candles from 2015-01-02 to 2026-09-17
Number of Bull Extreme occurrences: 2,558 times

When XAUUSD is in Bull Extreme:

  • then XAUUSD moved to higher Market State: 0 times0%
  • then XAUUSD moved to lower Market State: 2,558 times100%

Current XAUUSD market energy: 83.42%

  • Distance to peak 100%: 16.58%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 8.92%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

XAUUSD · H1 · 2026-07-21 05:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
83.7%
Bull Extreme
83.4%
Bull Extreme
93.3%
Bull Extreme
Zone
74.5 – 100
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Right as the 1H candle closes, XAUUSD within Bull energy at peak level.

Market movement after the 1H candle closes, Market Energy reading dropped -0.3%, moving from 83.7% to 83.4% after the 1H candle.

Time in Bull Extreme energy zone: 3 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XAUUSD Market Energy ranged from -92.2 to +84.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did XAUUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 12:00 on 21-07-2026 closed, XAUUSD was at 4,061.6, up 0.29% from the previous candle (4,049.67). Market Energy was 83.4%, down 0.3 points from 83.7%, in the Bull Extreme state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%.

How much did XAUUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

XAUUSD closed at 4,061.6, up 0.29% from the previous 1H candle (4,049.67). This rise is larger than 89% of past rises on the 1H timeframe for XAUUSD, across 44,718 candles since 2019.

How did XAUUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 0.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from 83.7% to 83.4%. This drop is larger than 2% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for XAUUSD.

Do XAUUSD price and energy agree?

No. Price moved up while energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was XAUUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had XAUUSD at 83.7%, Bull Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does XAUUSD energy sit within the Bull Extreme zone?

At 83.4%, XAUUSD is 16.58 points from the upper boundary of Bull Extreme (100%) and 8.92 points from the lower boundary (74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Extreme mean?

Bull Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 89%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy -11.7%. Against this backdrop, XAUUSD (Bull Extreme, 83.4%) has higher energy than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 29%. XAUUSD (Bull Extreme) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAUUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

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