Analysis

XAUUSD 4,194.24 ↑1.2%: Bulls have the edge · D Oct 9, 2026

·
Candle open
Price and energy
Open 4,144.8 · High 4,207.58 · Low 4,141.68 · Close 4,194.24 · Range (high − low) 65.9
XAUUSD closed at 4,194.24, up 49.81 (+1.20%) from 4,144.43.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bear Bias zone at -29.4% to Bull Bias at 49.2%, up 78.6 points.
Second straight up candle, price and energy are moving up together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price4,166.14,108.44,144.44,194.2
Energy-40.6%-52.6%-29.4%49.2%
Price change↑ 0.76%↓ 1.38%↑ 0.88%↑ 1.20%
Energy change↑ 22.0↓ 12.0↑ 23.2↑ 78.6
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 0.76%↓ 1.38%↑ 0.88%↑ 1.20%↑ 22.0↓ 12.0↑ 23.2↑ 78.6
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 1.20% — higher than 82% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 78.6 pts — higher than 98% of past rises
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias XAUUSD Daily

Sample: 4,014 Daily candles from 2013-01-03 to 2026-10-18
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 352 times

▸When XAUUSD is in Bull Bias:

  • then XAUUSD moved to higher Market State: 173 times — 49.1%
  • then XAUUSD moved to lower Market State: 179 times — 50.9%

▸Current XAUUSD market energy: 49.23%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 10.77%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 28.35%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

XAUUSD · D1 · 2026-10-09 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live XAUUSD chart →
Market Energy
-29.4%
Bear Bias
49.2%
Bull Bias
54.7%
Bull Bias
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

After the Daily data updates, XAUUSD noted at the energy zone tilted toward Bull.

On the energy side, Market Energy moved from -29.4% to 49.2%, up +78.6% from the previous candle.

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 1 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XAUUSD Market Energy ranged from -66.2 to 49.2.

Frequently asked questions

What did XAUUSD price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle closed at 07:00 on 09-10-2026, XAUUSD was at 4,194.24, up 1.2% from the previous candle (4,144.43). Market Energy was 49.2%, up 78.6 points from -29.4%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did XAUUSD price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

XAUUSD closed at 4,194.24, up 1.2% from the previous Daily candle (4,144.43). This rise is larger than 82% of past rises on the Daily timeframe for XAUUSD, across 2,418 candles since 2019.

How did XAUUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 78.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from -29.4% to 49.2%. This rise is larger than 98% of past rises on the Daily timeframe for XAUUSD.

Do XAUUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving up in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was XAUUSD in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had XAUUSD at -29.4%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, XAUUSD moved up to a higher zone: Bear Bias → Bull Bias.

Where does XAUUSD energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 49.2%, XAUUSD is 10.77 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 28.35 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy 4.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 52.6%. Against this backdrop, XAUUSD (Bull Bias, 49.2%) has higher energy than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -51%. XAUUSD (Bull Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAUUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

To jump to a symbol you're interested in, click .