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| Price | ▼ 0.59% | ▼ 3.12% | ▲ 1.39% | ▼ 0.68% |
| Energy | ▼ 4.8 | ▼ 37.9 | ▲ 12.0 | ▲ 8.1 |
Trend of Bear Critical XAUUSD Daily
▸When XAUUSD is in Bear Critical:
- then XAUUSD moved to higher Market State: 128 times — 65.6%
- then XAUUSD moved to lower Market State: 67 times — 34.4%
▸Current XAUUSD market energy: -71.16%
- Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 11.16%
- Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 3.34%
"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING
Following the completion of the Daily candle, XAUUSD recorded in the Bear Critical measurement.
Market movement after the Daily candle closes, Market trend energy recorded a +8.1% rise from the previous candle, from -79.3% to -71.2%.
Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 Daily Candle
Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.
Over the past 5 days, XAUUSD Market Energy ranged from -91.3 to -48.6.
Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.
What did XAUUSD price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?
When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 30-09-2026 closed, XAUUSD was at 4,156.45, down 0.68% from the previous candle (4,184.85). Market Energy was -71.2%, up 8.1 points from -79.3%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.
How much did XAUUSD price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?
XAUUSD closed at 4,156.45, down 0.68% from the previous Daily candle (4,184.85). This drop is larger than 66% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for XAUUSD, across 2,410 candles since 2019.
How did XAUUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?
Market Energy rose 8.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from -79.3% to -71.2%. This rise is larger than 39% of past rises on the Daily timeframe for XAUUSD.
Do XAUUSD price and energy agree?
No. Price moved down while energy moved up on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.
What state was XAUUSD in on the previous Daily candle?
The previous Daily candle had XAUUSD at -79.3%, Bear Extreme — when this candle closed, XAUUSD moved up to a higher zone: Bear Extreme → Bear Critical.
Where does XAUUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?
At -71.2%, XAUUSD is 11.16 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 3.34 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.
What does Bear Critical mean?
Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.
See the full Bear Critical definition →How are the broader market indices trending?
Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 28.5%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 49%. Against this backdrop, XAUUSD (Bear Critical, -71.2%) lower than SPX500, GER40.
How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?
Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -42.8%. XAUUSD (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.
See the real-time energy chart for XAUUSD.
Open Energy ChartSee the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →
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