Analysis

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Candle open
Price and energy
XAUUSD from 4,679.16 to 4,655.09, down 0.51%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 96.0% to Bull Extreme 84.2%, down 11.7 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 1.72%▲ 0.44%▲ 1.19%▼ 0.51%
Energy▲ 2.3▲ 6.2▼ 1.3▼ 11.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 1.72%▲ 0.44%▲ 1.19%▼ 0.51%▲ 2.3▲ 6.2▼ 1.3▼ 11.7
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.51% — higher than 57% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 11.7 pts — higher than 51% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Extreme XAUUSD Daily

Sample: 3,993 Daily candles from 2013-01-03 to 2026-09-23
Number of Bull Extreme occurrences: 204 times

▸When XAUUSD is in Bull Extreme:

  • then XAUUSD moved to higher Market State: 0 times — 0%
  • then XAUUSD moved to lower Market State: 204 times — 100%

▸Current XAUUSD market energy: 84.23%

  • Distance to peak 100%: 15.77%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 9.73%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

XAUUSD · D1 · 2026-08-25 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
96.0%
Bull Extreme
84.2%
Bull Extreme
68.0%
Bull Critical
Zone
74.5 – 100
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Following the completion of the Daily candle, XAUUSD reflects the trend energy Bull Extreme.

The energy side shows A -11.7% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now 84.2% (previous: 96%).

Time in Bull Extreme energy zone: 5 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XAUUSD Market Energy ranged from +84.2 to +97.3.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did XAUUSD price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 25-08-2026 closed, XAUUSD was at 4,655.09, down 0.51% from the previous candle (4,679.16). Market Energy was 84.2%, down 11.7 points from 96%, in the Bull Extreme state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%.

How much did XAUUSD price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

XAUUSD closed at 4,655.09, down 0.51% from the previous Daily candle (4,679.16). This drop is larger than 57% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for XAUUSD, across 2,379 candles since 2019.

How did XAUUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 11.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from 96% to 84.2%. This drop is larger than 51% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for XAUUSD.

Do XAUUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was XAUUSD in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had XAUUSD at 96%, Bull Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does XAUUSD energy sit within the Bull Extreme zone?

At 84.2%, XAUUSD is 15.77 points from the upper boundary of Bull Extreme (100%) and 9.73 points from the lower boundary (74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Extreme mean?

Bull Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy 3.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy 18%. Against this backdrop, XAUUSD (Bull Extreme, 84.2%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 33.1%. XAUUSD (Bull Extreme) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAUUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

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