Analysis

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Price and energy
XAGUSD from 67.2395 to 66.6255, down 0.91%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 95.3% to Bull Extreme 82.8%, down 12.5 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.72%1.37%1.70%0.91%
Energy14.818.220.812.5
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.72% 1.37% 1.70% 0.91% 14.8 18.2 20.8 12.5
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.91% — higher than 83% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 12.5 pts — higher than 57% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Extreme XAGUSD 4H

Sample: 21,089 4H candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-09-17
Number of Bull Extreme occurrences: 723 times

When XAGUSD is in Bull Extreme:

  • then XAGUSD moved to higher Market State: 0 times0%
  • then XAGUSD moved to lower Market State: 723 times100%

Current XAGUSD market energy: 82.77%

  • Distance to peak 100%: 17.23%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 8.27%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

XAGUSD · H4 · 2026-09-18 09:00 UTC
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Market Energy
95.3%
Bull Extreme
82.8%
Bull Extreme
Expected at
00:10
Zone
74.5 – 100
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

As the 4H candle completes, XAGUSD within the Bull Extreme state.

Market trend on the 2AiTrading energy system Market Energy moved from 95.3% to 82.8%, down -12.5% from the previous candle.

Time in Bull Extreme energy zone: 2 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XAGUSD Market Energy ranged from -81.6 to +95.3.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did XAGUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 16:00 on 18-09-2026 closed, XAGUSD was at 66.6255, down 0.91% from the previous candle (67.2395). Market Energy was 82.8%, down 12.5 points from 95.3%, in the Bull Extreme state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%.

How much did XAGUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

XAGUSD closed at 66.6255, down 0.91% from the previous 4H candle (67.2395). This drop is larger than 83% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for XAGUSD, across 11,864 candles since 2019.

How did XAGUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 12.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from 95.3% to 82.8%. This drop is larger than 57% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for XAGUSD.

Do XAGUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was XAGUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had XAGUSD at 95.3%, Bull Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does XAGUSD energy sit within the Bull Extreme zone?

At 82.8%, XAGUSD is 17.23 points from the upper boundary of Bull Extreme (100%) and 8.27 points from the lower boundary (74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Extreme mean?

Bull Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -71.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -69.4%. Against this backdrop, XAGUSD (Bull Extreme, 82.8%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 65%. XAGUSD (Bull Extreme) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAGUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAGUSD on the XAGUSD overview →

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