Analysis

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Price and energy
XAGUSD from 64.2805 to 63.57, down 1.11%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -98.1% to Bear Extreme -97.5%, up 0.6 pts
Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.61%4.52%0.45%1.11%
Energy23.7119.64.00.6
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.61% 4.52% 0.45% 1.11% 23.7 119.6 4.0 0.6
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.11% — higher than 87% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy up 0.6 pts — higher than 4% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme XAGUSD 4H

Sample: 21,060 4H candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-09-09
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 639 times

When XAGUSD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then XAGUSD moved to higher Market State: 639 times100%
  • then XAGUSD moved to lower Market State: 0 times0%

Current XAGUSD market energy: -97.46%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 22.96%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 2.54%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

XAGUSD · H4 · 2026-09-10 17:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-98.1%
Bear Extreme
-97.5%
Bear Extreme
Expected at
08:10
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Right as the 4H candle closes, XAGUSD shows the peak Bear energy state.

On the energy side, Market Energy moved from -98.1% to -97.5%, up +0.6% from the previous candle.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 3 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XAGUSD Market Energy ranged from -98.1 to +76.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did XAGUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 00:00 on 11-09-2026 closed, XAGUSD was at 63.57, down 1.11% from the previous candle (64.2805). Market Energy was -97.5%, up 0.6 points from -98.1%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did XAGUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

XAGUSD closed at 63.57, down 1.11% from the previous 4H candle (64.2805). This drop is larger than 87% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for XAGUSD, across 11,836 candles since 2019.

How did XAGUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 0.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from -98.1% to -97.5%. This rise is larger than 4% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for XAGUSD.

Do XAGUSD price and energy agree?

No. On this candle price fell but energy rose — the two moved in opposite directions. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was XAGUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had XAGUSD at -98.1%, Bear Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does XAGUSD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -97.5%, XAGUSD is 22.96 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 2.54 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -79.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -86.6%. Against this backdrop, XAGUSD (Bear Extreme, -97.5%) sits in the same state zone as SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 2.2%. XAGUSD energy is currently below DXY by 99.6 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAGUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAGUSD on the XAGUSD overview →

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