Analysis

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Price and energy
XAGUSD from 68.963 to 67.899, down 1.54%
Market Energy Neutral -0.6% to Bear Bias -30.7%, down 30.1 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.62%0.71%0.40%1.54%
Energy3.619.71.230.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.62% 0.71% 0.40% 1.54% 3.6 19.7 1.2 30.1
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.54% — higher than 93% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 30.1 pts — higher than 82% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias XAGUSD 4H

Sample: 21,074 4H candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-09-14
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 1,620 times

When XAGUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then XAGUSD moved to higher Market State: 1,029 times63.5%
  • then XAGUSD moved to lower Market State: 591 times36.5%

Current XAGUSD market energy: -30.69%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 9.81%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 29.31%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

XAGUSD · H4 · 2026-08-25 01:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-0.6%
Neutral
-30.7%
Bear Bias
-60.1%
Bear Critical
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

The Market Energy state leaning Bear is the result just recorded for XAGUSD after the 4H candle closed.

On the energy side, Market Energy dropped -30.1% from the previous session, from -0.6% to -30.7%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XAGUSD Market Energy ranged from -30.7 to +98.6.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did XAGUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 08:00 on 25-08-2026 closed, XAGUSD was at 67.899, down 1.54% from the previous candle (68.963). Market Energy was -30.7%, down 30.1 points from -0.6%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did XAGUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

XAGUSD closed at 67.899, down 1.54% from the previous 4H candle (68.963). This drop is larger than 93% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for XAGUSD, across 11,773 candles since 2019.

How did XAGUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 30.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from -0.6% to -30.7%. This drop is larger than 82% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for XAGUSD.

Do XAGUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was XAGUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had XAGUSD at -0.6%, Neutral — when this candle closed, XAGUSD moved down to a lower zone: Neutral → Bear Bias.

Where does XAGUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -30.7%, XAGUSD is 9.81 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 29.31 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 21.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 55.1%. Against this backdrop, XAGUSD (Bear Bias, -30.7%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 43.4%. XAGUSD (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAGUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAGUSD on the XAGUSD overview →

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