Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
XAGUSD from 57.321 to 57.325, up 0.01%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -87.7% to Bear Critical -73.9%, up 13.8 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 2.07%▲ 0.66%▼ 0.42%▲ 0.01%
Energy▼ 66.9▲ 3.8▲ 7.0▲ 13.8
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 2.07%▲ 0.66%▼ 0.42%▲ 0.01%▼ 66.9▲ 3.8▲ 7.0▲ 13.8
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.01% — higher than 1% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 13.8 pts — higher than 61% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical XAGUSD 4H

Sample: 21,155 4H candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-10-06
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 908 times

▸When XAGUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then XAGUSD moved to higher Market State: 648 times — 71.4%
  • then XAGUSD moved to lower Market State: 260 times — 28.6%

▸Current XAGUSD market energy: -73.89%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 13.89%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 0.61%

"Why does archaeology matter?" — 2AITRADING

XAGUSD · H4 · 2026-07-28 13:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-87.7%
Bear Extreme
-73.9%
Bear Critical
-71.7%
Bear Critical
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Following the completion of the 4H candle, XAGUSD currently in the Bear Critical energy zone.

Per the 2AiTrading energy measurement system, Market Energy moved from -87.7% to -73.9%, up +13.8% from the previous candle.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XAGUSD Market Energy ranged from -98.5 to +53.4.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did XAGUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 20:00 on 28-07-2026 closed, XAGUSD was at 57.325, up 0.01% from the previous candle (57.321). Market Energy was -73.9%, up 13.8 points from -87.7%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did XAGUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

XAGUSD closed at 57.325, up 0.01% from the previous 4H candle (57.321). This rise is larger than 1% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for XAGUSD, across 11,676 candles since 2019.

How did XAGUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 13.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from -87.7% to -73.9%. This rise is larger than 61% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for XAGUSD.

Do XAGUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving up in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was XAGUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had XAGUSD at -87.7%, Bear Extreme — when this candle closed, XAGUSD moved up to a higher zone: Bear Extreme → Bear Critical.

Where does XAGUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -73.9%, XAGUSD is 13.89 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 0.61 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -44.4%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -61.7%. Against this backdrop, XAGUSD (Bear Critical, -73.9%) lower than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -16.3%. XAGUSD energy is currently below DXY by 57.6 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAGUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAGUSD on the XAGUSD overview →

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