Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
WHEAT from 680.44 to 684.7, up 0.63%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -74.9% to Bear Critical -69.7%, up 5.3 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.96%0.00%▼ 0.75%▲ 0.63%
Energy▲ 13.1▲ 6.7▲ 0.6▲ 5.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.96%0.00%▼ 0.75%▲ 0.63%▲ 13.1▲ 6.7▲ 0.6▲ 5.3
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.63% — higher than 49% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 5.3 pts — higher than 21% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical WHEAT 4H

Sample: 199 4H candles from 2026-07-23 to 2026-10-01
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 10 times

▸When WHEAT is in Bear Critical:

  • then WHEAT moved to higher Market State: 6 times — 60%
  • then WHEAT moved to lower Market State: 4 times — 40%

▸Current WHEAT market energy: -69.67%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 9.67%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 4.83%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

WHEAT · H4 · 2026-10-02 01:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live WHEAT chart →
Market Energy
-74.9%
Bear Extreme
-69.7%
Bear Critical
Expected at
16:10
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

The near-peak Bear energy level determined for WHEAT through the 4H candle data.

Per the 2AI model, Market Energy at -69.7%, up +5.3% from -74.9% in the previous candle.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, WHEAT Market Energy ranged from -95.2 to +84.6.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did WHEAT price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 08:00 on 02-10-2026 closed, WHEAT was at 684.7, up 0.63% from the previous candle (680.44). Market Energy was -69.7%, up 5.3 points from -74.9%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did WHEAT price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

WHEAT closed at 684.7, up 0.63% from the previous 4H candle (680.44). This rise is larger than 49% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for WHEAT, across 199 candles since 2019.

How did WHEAT Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 5.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from -74.9% to -69.7%. This rise is larger than 21% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for WHEAT.

Do WHEAT price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved up on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was WHEAT in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had WHEAT at -74.9%, Bear Extreme — when this candle closed, WHEAT moved up to a higher zone: Bear Extreme → Bear Critical.

Where does WHEAT energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -69.7%, WHEAT is 9.67 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 4.83 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 22.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -63.4%. Against this backdrop, WHEAT (Bear Critical, -69.7%) lower than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 70.8%. WHEAT (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for WHEAT.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for WHEAT on the WHEAT overview →

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