Analysis

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Candle open
Price and energy
WHEAT from 680.565 to 686.945, up 0.94%
Market Energy Bear Critical -63.2% to Bear Bias -58.1%, up 5.2 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 2.32%▲ 0.81%▼ 2.50%▲ 0.94%
Energy▼ 14.2▲ 7.7▼ 17.8▲ 5.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 2.32%▲ 0.81%▼ 2.50%▲ 0.94%▼ 14.2▲ 7.7▼ 17.8▲ 5.2
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.94% — higher than 45% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 5.2 pts — higher than 21% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias WHEAT Daily

Sample: 3,421 Daily candles from 2013-01-03 to 2026-09-30
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 365 times

▸When WHEAT is in Bear Bias:

  • then WHEAT moved to higher Market State: 202 times — 55.3%
  • then WHEAT moved to lower Market State: 163 times — 44.7%

▸Current WHEAT market energy: -58.07%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 37.19%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 1.93%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

WHEAT · D1 · 2026-10-01 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live WHEAT chart →
Market Energy
-63.2%
Bear Critical
-58.1%
Bear Bias
Expected at
07:10
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

As the Daily session concludes, WHEAT currently in the Bear Bias zone.

Market movement after the Daily candle closes, Market trend energy recorded a +5.2% rise from the previous candle, from -63.2% to -58.1%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, WHEAT Market Energy ranged from -63.2 to -45.5.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did WHEAT price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 01-10-2026 closed, WHEAT was at 686.945, up 0.94% from the previous candle (680.565). Market Energy was -58.1%, up 5.2 points from -63.2%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did WHEAT price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

WHEAT closed at 686.945, up 0.94% from the previous Daily candle (680.565). This rise is larger than 45% of past rises on the Daily timeframe for WHEAT, across 1,922 candles since 2019.

How did WHEAT Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 5.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from -63.2% to -58.1%. This rise is larger than 21% of past rises on the Daily timeframe for WHEAT.

Do WHEAT price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved up on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was WHEAT in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had WHEAT at -63.2%, Bear Critical — when this candle closed, WHEAT moved up to a higher zone: Bear Critical → Bear Bias.

Where does WHEAT energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -58.1%, WHEAT is 37.19 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 1.93 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy -8.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -72.3%. Against this backdrop, WHEAT (Bear Bias, -58.1%) has higher energy than GER40; lower than SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 71.3%. WHEAT (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for WHEAT.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for WHEAT on the WHEAT overview →

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