Analysis

·

Price and energy
WHEAT from 741.52 to 726.77, down 1.99%
Market Energy Neutral 12.0% to Bear Bias -49.5%, down 61.5 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.16%0.31%0.30%1.99%
Energy5.01.314.161.5
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.16% 0.31% 0.30% 1.99% 5.0 1.3 14.1 61.5
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.99% — higher than 90% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 61.5 pts — higher than 89% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias WHEAT 4H

Sample: 139 4H candles from 2026-07-23 to 2026-09-10
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 10 times

When WHEAT is in Bear Bias:

  • then WHEAT moved to higher Market State: 8 times80%
  • then WHEAT moved to lower Market State: 2 times20%

Current WHEAT market energy: -49.5%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 28.62%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 10.5%

"Why does archaeology matter?" — 2AITRADING

WHEAT · H4 · 2026-09-11 13:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live WHEAT chart →
Market Energy
12.0%
Neutral
-49.5%
Bear Bias
Expected at
04:10
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Measurement result after the 4H candle closes, WHEAT within the Bear Bias energy zone.

The WHEAT market at session end, A -61.5% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now -49.5% (previous: 12%).

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, WHEAT Market Energy ranged from -99.7 to +12.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did WHEAT price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 20:00 on 11-09-2026 closed, WHEAT was at 726.77, down 1.99% from the previous candle (741.52). Market Energy was -49.5%, down 61.5 points from 12%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did WHEAT price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

WHEAT closed at 726.77, down 1.99% from the previous 4H candle (741.52). This drop is larger than 90% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for WHEAT, across 142 candles since 2019.

How did WHEAT Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 61.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from 12% to -49.5%. This drop is larger than 89% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for WHEAT.

Do WHEAT price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was WHEAT in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had WHEAT at 12%, Neutral — when this candle closed, WHEAT moved down to a lower zone: Neutral → Bear Bias.

Where does WHEAT energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -49.5%, WHEAT is 28.62 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 10.5 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 99.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 91%. Against this backdrop, WHEAT (Bear Bias, -49.5%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -96.8%. WHEAT (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for WHEAT.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for WHEAT on the WHEAT overview →

To jump to a symbol you're interested in, click .