Analysis

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Price and energy
WHEAT from 753.13 to 748.51, down 0.61%
Market Energy Neutral -19.5% to Neutral -19.9%, down 0.4 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.40%0.43%0.82%0.61%
Energy4.97.132.40.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.40% 0.43% 0.82% 0.61% 4.9 7.1 32.4 0.4
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.61% — higher than 51% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 0.4 pts — higher than 3% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral WHEAT 4H

Sample: 151 4H candles from 2026-07-23 to 2026-09-15
Number of Neutral occurrences: 12 times

When WHEAT is in Neutral:

  • then WHEAT moved to higher Market State: 4 times33.3%
  • then WHEAT moved to lower Market State: 8 times66.7%

Current WHEAT market energy: -19.94%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 40.82%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 0.94%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

WHEAT · H4 · 2026-09-09 09:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-19.5%
Neutral
-19.9%
Neutral
-79.8%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

As the 4H candle closes, Market WHEAT in the balanced trend energy zone.

Looking at the Market Energy reading, Market trend energy recorded a -0.4% drop from the previous candle, from -19.5% to -19.9%.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 2 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, WHEAT Market Energy ranged from -80.2 to -19.5.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did WHEAT price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 16:00 on 09-09-2026 closed, WHEAT was at 748.51, down 0.61% from the previous candle (753.13). Market Energy was -19.9%, down 0.4 points from -19.5%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did WHEAT price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

WHEAT closed at 748.51, down 0.61% from the previous 4H candle (753.13). This drop is larger than 51% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for WHEAT, across 133 candles since 2019.

How did WHEAT Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 0.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from -19.5% to -19.9%. This drop is larger than 3% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for WHEAT.

Do WHEAT price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was WHEAT in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had WHEAT at -19.5%, Neutral — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does WHEAT energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At -19.9%, WHEAT is 40.82 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 0.94 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -90.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -92.9%. Against this backdrop, WHEAT (Neutral, -19.9%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 92.4%. WHEAT energy is currently below DXY by 112.4 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for WHEAT.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for WHEAT on the WHEAT overview →

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