Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
WHEAT from 683.95 to 684.45, up 0.07%
Market Energy Bear Bias -27.0% to Bear Bias -24.9%, up 2.1 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.20%▼ 0.16%▼ 0.07%▲ 0.07%
Energy▼ 5.2▼ 6.6▼ 4.9▲ 2.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.20%▼ 0.16%▼ 0.07%▲ 0.07%▼ 5.2▼ 6.6▼ 4.9▲ 2.1
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.07% — higher than 21% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 2.1 pts — higher than 17% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias WHEAT 1H

Sample: 15,031 1H candles from 2023-07-26 to 2026-10-01
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 1,169 times

▸When WHEAT is in Bear Bias:

  • then WHEAT moved to higher Market State: 652 times — 55.8%
  • then WHEAT moved to lower Market State: 517 times — 44.2%

▸Current WHEAT market energy: -24.92%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 4.04%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 35.08%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

WHEAT · H1 · 2026-10-02 03:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live WHEAT chart →
Market Energy
-27.0%
Bear Bias
-24.9%
Bear Bias
Expected at
12:10
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Reading from the 1H candle, Result for WHEAT: the Market Energy state leaning Bear.

On the energy side, Market Energy rose +2.1% this candle, currently -24.9% (previous candle -27%).

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 3 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, WHEAT Market Energy ranged from -100 to +89.3.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did WHEAT price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 10:00 on 02-10-2026 closed, WHEAT was at 684.45, up 0.07% from the previous candle (683.95). Market Energy was -24.9%, up 2.1 points from -27%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did WHEAT price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

WHEAT closed at 684.45, up 0.07% from the previous 1H candle (683.95). This rise is larger than 21% of past rises on the 1H timeframe for WHEAT, across 15,047 candles since 2019.

How did WHEAT Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 2.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from -27% to -24.9%. This rise is larger than 17% of past rises on the 1H timeframe for WHEAT.

Do WHEAT price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving up in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was WHEAT in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had WHEAT at -27%, Bear Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does WHEAT energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -24.9%, WHEAT is 4.04 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 35.08 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Critical with energy 74.5%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 48.3%. Against this backdrop, WHEAT (Bear Bias, -24.9%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 36%. WHEAT (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for WHEAT.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for WHEAT on the WHEAT overview →

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