Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
WHEAT from 712.03 to 712.78, up 0.11%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -82.4% to Bear Critical -71.7%, up 10.7 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.07%0.10%0.21%0.11%
Energy6.14.34.410.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.07% 0.10% 0.21% 0.11% 6.1 4.3 4.4 10.7
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.11% — higher than 31% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 10.7 pts — higher than 54% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical WHEAT 1H

Sample: 14,911 1H candles from 2023-07-26 to 2026-09-22
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 782 times

When WHEAT is in Bear Critical:

  • then WHEAT moved to higher Market State: 493 times63%
  • then WHEAT moved to lower Market State: 289 times37%

Current WHEAT market energy: -71.69%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 11.69%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 2.81%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

WHEAT · H1 · 2026-09-23 08:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-82.4%
Bear Extreme
-71.7%
Bear Critical
-62.5%
Bear Critical
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

WHEAT recorded in the near-peak Bear energy state as the 1H candle ended.

At the 1H session close, Market Energy moved from -82.4% to -71.7%, up +10.7% from the previous candle.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, WHEAT Market Energy ranged from -98.9 to +100.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did WHEAT price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 15:00 on 23-09-2026 closed, WHEAT was at 712.78, up 0.11% from the previous candle (712.03). Market Energy was -71.7%, up 10.7 points from -82.4%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did WHEAT price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

WHEAT closed at 712.78, up 0.11% from the previous 1H candle (712.03). This rise is larger than 31% of past rises on the 1H timeframe for WHEAT, across 14,919 candles since 2019.

How did WHEAT Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 10.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from -82.4% to -71.7%. This rise is larger than 54% of past rises on the 1H timeframe for WHEAT.

Do WHEAT price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved up on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was WHEAT in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had WHEAT at -82.4%, Bear Extreme — when this candle closed, WHEAT moved up to a higher zone: Bear Extreme → Bear Critical.

Where does WHEAT energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -71.7%, WHEAT is 11.69 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 2.81 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy 0.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -95.6%. Against this backdrop, WHEAT (Bear Critical, -71.7%) has higher energy than GER40; lower than SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 73.5%. WHEAT (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for WHEAT.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for WHEAT on the WHEAT overview →

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