Analysis

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Candle open
Price and energy
WHEAT from 730.095 to 720.775, down 1.28%
Market Energy Neutral -16.3% to Bear Bias -22.3%, down 6.0 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.89%1.60%1.74%1.28%
Energy2.818.99.96.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.89% 1.60% 1.74% 1.28% 2.8 18.9 9.9 6.0
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.28% — higher than 54% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 6.0 pts — higher than 23% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias WHEAT Daily

Sample: 3,414 Daily candles from 2013-01-03 to 2026-09-21
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 364 times

When WHEAT is in Bear Bias:

  • then WHEAT moved to higher Market State: 202 times55.5%
  • then WHEAT moved to lower Market State: 162 times44.5%

Current WHEAT market energy: -22.29%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 1.41%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 37.71%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

WHEAT · D1 · 2026-09-22 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-16.3%
Neutral
-22.3%
Bear Bias
Expected at
07:10
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Once measurement on the Daily timeframe completes, Result for WHEAT: the Bear Bias zone.

Looking at the energy level, Compared to the previous candle (-16.3%), Market Energy dropped -6% to -22.3%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, WHEAT Market Energy ranged from -26.2 to -7.3.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did WHEAT price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 22-09-2026 closed, WHEAT was at 720.775, down 1.28% from the previous candle (730.095). Market Energy was -22.3%, down 6.0 points from -16.3%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did WHEAT price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

WHEAT closed at 720.775, down 1.28% from the previous Daily candle (730.095). This drop is larger than 54% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for WHEAT, across 1,915 candles since 2019.

How did WHEAT Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 6 percentage points from the previous candle — from -16.3% to -22.3%. This drop is larger than 23% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for WHEAT.

Do WHEAT price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was WHEAT in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had WHEAT at -16.3%, Neutral — when this candle closed, WHEAT moved down to a lower zone: Neutral → Bear Bias.

Where does WHEAT energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -22.3%, WHEAT is 1.41 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 37.71 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Critical with energy 68%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 26%. Against this backdrop, WHEAT (Bear Bias, -22.3%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 30.8%. WHEAT (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for WHEAT.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for WHEAT on the WHEAT overview →

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