Analysis

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Candle open
Price and energy
WHEAT from 686.945 to 688.35, up 0.20%
Market Energy Bear Bias -58.1% to Bear Bias -47.8%, up 10.3 pts
Up candle #2 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.81%▼ 2.50%▲ 0.94%▲ 0.20%
Energy▲ 7.7▼ 17.8▲ 5.2▲ 10.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.81%▼ 2.50%▲ 0.94%▲ 0.20%▲ 7.7▼ 17.8▲ 5.2▲ 10.3
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.20% — higher than 10% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 10.3 pts — higher than 39% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias WHEAT Daily

Sample: 3,423 Daily candles from 2013-01-03 to 2026-10-02
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 365 times

▸When WHEAT is in Bear Bias:

  • then WHEAT moved to higher Market State: 202 times — 55.3%
  • then WHEAT moved to lower Market State: 163 times — 44.7%

▸Current WHEAT market energy: -47.79%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 26.91%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 12.21%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

WHEAT · D1 · 2026-10-02 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live WHEAT chart →
Market Energy
-58.1%
Bear Bias
-47.8%
Bear Bias
Expected at
07:10
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

After the Daily candle closes, WHEAT classified as the energy state leaning Bear.

Per the 2AiTrading energy measurement system, Market Energy rose +10.3% this candle, currently -47.8% (previous candle -58.1%).

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 2 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, WHEAT Market Energy ranged from -63.2 to -45.5.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did WHEAT price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 02-10-2026 closed, WHEAT was at 688.35, up 0.2% from the previous candle (686.945). Market Energy was -47.8%, up 10.3 points from -58.1%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did WHEAT price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

WHEAT closed at 688.35, up 0.2% from the previous Daily candle (686.945). This rise is larger than 10% of past rises on the Daily timeframe for WHEAT, across 1,923 candles since 2019.

How did WHEAT Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 10.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from -58.1% to -47.8%. This rise is larger than 39% of past rises on the Daily timeframe for WHEAT.

Do WHEAT price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price rose and energy rose — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was WHEAT in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had WHEAT at -58.1%, Bear Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does WHEAT energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -47.8%, WHEAT is 26.91 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 12.21 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy 12.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -72.1%. Against this backdrop, WHEAT (Bear Bias, -47.8%) has higher energy than GER40; lower than SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 70.4%. WHEAT (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for WHEAT.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for WHEAT on the WHEAT overview →

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