Analysis

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Candle open
Price and energy
VIX Stock from 12.95 to 12.75, down 1.54%
Market Energy Bear Critical -61.1% to Bear Critical -71.1%, down 10.0 pts
Down candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price2.66%1.95%0.77%1.54%
Energy10.64.62.710.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
2.66% 1.95% 0.77% 1.54% 10.6 4.6 2.7 10.0
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.54% — higher than 39% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 10.0 pts — higher than 52% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical VIX Stock Daily

Sample: 3,614 Daily candles from 2012-03-21 to 2026-09-23
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 118 times

When VIX Stock is in Bear Critical:

  • then VIX Stock moved to higher Market State: 70 times59.3%
  • then VIX Stock moved to lower Market State: 48 times40.7%

Current VIX Stock market energy: -71.11%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 11.11%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 3.39%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

VIX · D1 · 2026-09-24 02:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-61.1%
Bear Critical
-71.1%
Bear Critical
Expected at
09:10
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Right as the Daily candle closes, VIX Stock recorded in the near-extreme Bear energy zone.

Per the 2AiTrading energy measurement system, Market Energy dropped -10% from the previous session, from -61.1% to -71.1%.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, VIX Stock Market Energy ranged from -71.1 to -61.1.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did VIX Stock price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 09:00 on 24-09-2026 closed, VIX Stock was at 12.75, down 1.54% from the previous candle (12.95). Market Energy was -71.1%, down 10.0 points from -61.1%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did VIX price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

VIX closed at 12.75, down 1.54% from the previous Daily candle (12.95). This drop is larger than 39% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for VIX, across 1,920 candles since 2019.

How did VIX Stock Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 10 percentage points from the previous candle — from -61.1% to -71.1%. This drop is larger than 52% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for VIX.

Do VIX price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was VIX Stock in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had VIX Stock at -61.1%, Bear Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does VIX Stock energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -71.1%, VIX Stock is 11.11 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 3.39 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: VNINDEX (Vietnam equities) in Bear Critical with energy -70.1%; VN30 (VN30 basket) in Bear Extreme with energy -80.9%. Against this backdrop, VIX Stock (Bear Critical, -71.1%) has higher energy than VN30; sits in the same state zone as VNINDEX.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 16.4%. VIX Stock energy is currently below DXY by 87.5 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for VIX Stock.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for VIX on the VIX Stock overview →

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