Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
USOIL from 89.125 to 89.265, up 0.16%
Market Energy Neutral 10.8% to Neutral 7.1%, down 3.7 pts
Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 1.04%▲ 0.34%▼ 0.60%▲ 0.16%
Energy▼ 12.7▲ 5.9▼ 5.8▼ 3.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 1.04%▲ 0.34%▼ 0.60%▲ 0.16%▼ 12.7▲ 5.9▼ 5.8▼ 3.7
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.16% — higher than 20% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy down 3.7 pts — higher than 23% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral USOIL 4H

Sample: 21,142 4H candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-10-02
Number of Neutral occurrences: 1,596 times

▸When USOIL is in Neutral:

  • then USOIL moved to higher Market State: 828 times — 51.9%
  • then USOIL moved to lower Market State: 768 times — 48.1%

▸Current USOIL market energy: 7.1%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 13.78%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 27.98%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

USOIL · H4 · 2026-10-05 13:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live USOIL chart →
Market Energy
10.8%
Neutral
7.1%
Neutral
Expected at
04:10
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

As the 4H candle completes, USOIL currently in the balanced energy zone.

Per the 2AiTrading energy measurement system, Market Energy dropped -3.7% from the previous session, from 10.8% to 7.1%.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 4 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USOIL Market Energy ranged from -88.7 to +54.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USOIL price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 20:00 on 05-10-2026 closed, USOIL was at 89.265, up 0.16% from the previous candle (89.125). Market Energy was 7.1%, down 3.7 points from 10.8%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did USOIL price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

USOIL closed at 89.265, up 0.16% from the previous 4H candle (89.125). This rise is larger than 20% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for USOIL, across 11,920 candles since 2019.

How did USOIL Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 3.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from 10.8% to 7.1%. This drop is larger than 23% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USOIL.

Do USOIL price and energy agree?

No. On this candle price rose but energy fell — the two moved in opposite directions. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was USOIL in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USOIL at 10.8%, Neutral — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does USOIL energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At 7.1%, USOIL is 13.78 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 27.98 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 51.4%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 41.6%. Against this backdrop, USOIL (Neutral, 7.1%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 54.5%. USOIL energy is currently below DXY by 47.4 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USOIL.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USOIL on the USOIL overview →

To jump to a symbol you're interested in, click .