Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
USOIL from 93.0635 to 91.856, down 1.30%
Market Energy Bull Bias 40.0% to Bear Bias -28.5%, down 68.5 pts
Down candle #2 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 1.76%▲ 1.63%▼ 1.41%▼ 1.30%
Energy▲ 32.3▲ 74.4▼ 20.2▼ 68.5
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 1.76%▲ 1.63%▼ 1.41%▼ 1.30%▲ 32.3▲ 74.4▼ 20.2▼ 68.5
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.30% — higher than 84% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 68.5 pts — higher than 94% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias USOIL 4H

Sample: 21,121 4H candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-09-28
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 1,564 times

▸When USOIL is in Bear Bias:

  • then USOIL moved to higher Market State: 952 times — 60.9%
  • then USOIL moved to lower Market State: 612 times — 39.1%

▸Current USOIL market energy: -28.53%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 7.65%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 31.47%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

USOIL · H4 · 2026-09-28 13:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
40.0%
Bull Bias
-28.5%
Bear Bias
Expected at
04:10
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

From the just-closed 4H candle data, USOIL currently in the Market Energy state leaning Bear.

Looking at the energy level, Market Energy dropped -68.5% from the previous candle, from 40% to -28.5%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USOIL Market Energy ranged from -46.5 to +78.5.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USOIL price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 20:00 on 28-09-2026 closed, USOIL was at 91.856, down 1.3% from the previous candle (93.0635). Market Energy was -28.5%, down 68.5 points from 40%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did USOIL price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

USOIL closed at 91.856, down 1.3% from the previous 4H candle (93.0635). This drop is larger than 84% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USOIL, across 11,895 candles since 2019.

How did USOIL Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 68.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from 40% to -28.5%. This drop is larger than 94% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USOIL.

Do USOIL price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USOIL in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USOIL at 40%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, USOIL moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Bear Bias.

Where does USOIL energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -28.5%, USOIL is 7.65 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 31.47 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 46.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 89.3%. Against this backdrop, USOIL (Bear Bias, -28.5%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 20.7%. USOIL energy is currently below DXY by 49.2 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USOIL.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USOIL on the USOIL overview →

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