Analysis

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Price and energy
USOIL from 90.999 to 90.249, down 0.82%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 75.9% to Bull Bias 59.4%, down 16.5 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.31%0.44%1.62%0.82%
Energy11.70.633.716.5
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.31% 0.44% 1.62% 0.82% 11.7 0.6 33.7 16.5
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.82% — higher than 71% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 16.5 pts — higher than 67% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias USOIL 4H

Sample: 21,079 4H candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-09-16
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 1,691 times

When USOIL is in Bull Bias:

  • then USOIL moved to higher Market State: 765 times45.2%
  • then USOIL moved to lower Market State: 926 times54.8%

Current USOIL market energy: 59.39%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 0.61%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 38.51%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

USOIL · H4 · 2026-09-03 13:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
75.9%
Bull Extreme
59.4%
Bull Bias
53.9%
Bull Bias
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

With the 4H candle just closed, USOIL shows Bull Bias.

Looking at the energy level, Market Energy moved from 75.9% to 59.4%, down -16.5% from the previous candle.

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USOIL Market Energy ranged from +41.6 to +98.4.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USOIL price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 20:00 on 03-09-2026 closed, USOIL was at 90.249, down 0.82% from the previous candle (90.999). Market Energy was 59.4%, down 16.5 points from 75.9%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did USOIL price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

USOIL closed at 90.249, down 0.82% from the previous 4H candle (90.999). This drop is larger than 71% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USOIL, across 11,811 candles since 2019.

How did USOIL Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 16.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from 75.9% to 59.4%. This drop is larger than 67% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USOIL.

Do USOIL price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was USOIL in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USOIL at 75.9%, Bull Extreme — when this candle closed, USOIL moved down to a lower zone: Bull Extreme → Bull Bias.

Where does USOIL energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 59.4%, USOIL is 0.61 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 38.51 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 92.5%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 97.8%. Against this backdrop, USOIL (Bull Bias, 59.4%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -87%. USOIL (Bull Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USOIL.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USOIL on the USOIL overview →

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