Analysis

·

Candle open
Price and energy
USDJPY from 159.227 to 158.979, down 0.16%
Market Energy Bear Critical -61.1% to Bear Bias -52.8%, up 8.3 pts
Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 3.69%▲ 0.20%▲ 0.83%▼ 0.16%
Energy▼ 157.2▼ 4.3▲ 15.4▲ 8.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 3.69%▲ 0.20%▲ 0.83%▼ 0.16%▼ 157.2▼ 4.3▲ 15.4▲ 8.3
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.16% — higher than 17% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy up 8.3 pts — higher than 32% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias USDJPY Weekly

Sample: 613 Weekly candles from 2015-01-05 to 2026-09-28
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 52 times

▸When USDJPY is in Bear Bias:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 33 times — 63.5%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 19 times — 36.5%

▸Current USDJPY market energy: -52.8%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 31.92%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 7.2%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · W1 · 2026-08-17 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live USDJPY chart →
Market Energy
-61.1%
Bear Critical
-52.8%
Bear Bias
-28.8%
Bear Bias
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

From the just-closed Weekly candle data, USDJPY reflects the Bear Bias zone.

Looking at the energy level, Market Energy moved from -61.1% to -52.8%, up +8.3% from the previous candle.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 Weekly Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Not enough data in the past 5 days to show a range.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this Weekly candle closed?

When the Weekly candle at 07:00 on 17-08-2026 closed, USDJPY was at 158.979, down 0.16% from the previous candle (159.227). Market Energy was -52.8%, up 8.3 points from -61.1%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this Weekly candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 158.979, down 0.16% from the previous Weekly candle (159.227). This drop is larger than 17% of past drops on the Weekly timeframe for USDJPY, across 398 candles since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 8.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from -61.1% to -52.8%. This rise is larger than 32% of past rises on the Weekly timeframe for USDJPY.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

No. Price moved down while energy moved up on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous Weekly candle?

The previous Weekly candle had USDJPY at -61.1%, Bear Critical — when this candle closed, USDJPY moved up to a higher zone: Bear Critical → Bear Bias.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -52.8%, USDJPY is 31.92 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 7.2 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy -7.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 36%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Bear Bias, -52.8%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -7.8%. USDJPY energy is currently below DXY by 45 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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