Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
USDJPY from 158.806 to 158.861, up 0.03%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 86.1% to Bull Extreme 78.6%, down 7.4 pts
Up candle #4 in a row—Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.38%▲ 0.11%▲ 0.09%▲ 0.03%
Energy▲ 33.8▲ 16.7▼ 11.4▼ 7.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.38%▲ 0.11%▲ 0.09%▲ 0.03%▲ 33.8▲ 16.7▼ 11.4▼ 7.4
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.03% — higher than 21% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy down 7.4 pts — higher than 39% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Extreme USDJPY 4H

Sample: 18,247 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-09-23
Number of Bull Extreme occurrences: 820 times

▸When USDJPY is in Bull Extreme:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 0 times — 0%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 820 times — 100%

▸Current USDJPY market energy: 78.62%

  • Distance to peak 100%: 21.38%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 4.12%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · H4 · 2026-09-24 17:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
86.1%
Bull Extreme
78.6%
Bull Extreme
Expected at
08:10
Zone
74.5 – 100
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

USDJPY processing result: Bull Extreme after the 4H candle closed.

Market trend energy The energy level dropped -7.4%: from 86.1% now at 78.6%.

Time in Bull Extreme energy zone: 4 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from -5.1 to +97.4.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 00:00 on 25-09-2026 closed, USDJPY was at 158.861, up 0.03% from the previous candle (158.806). Market Energy was 78.6%, down 7.4 points from 86.1%, in the Bull Extreme state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 158.861, up 0.03% from the previous 4H candle (158.806). This rise is larger than 21% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for USDJPY, across 12,042 candles since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 7.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from 86.1% to 78.6%. This drop is larger than 39% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USDJPY.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

No. This candle recorded a price rise with energy moving the other way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USDJPY at 86.1%, Bull Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Bull Extreme zone?

At 78.6%, USDJPY is 21.38 points from the upper boundary of Bull Extreme (100%) and 4.12 points from the lower boundary (74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Extreme mean?

Bull Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Critical with energy 69.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 34.2%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Bull Extreme, 78.6%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 41.3%. USDJPY (Bull Extreme) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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