Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
USDJPY from 158.336 to 158.0675, down 0.17%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 95.0% to Bull Extreme 81.9%, down 13.2 pts
Down candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.01%0.30%0.02%0.17%
Energy3.57.91.813.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.01% 0.30% 0.02% 0.17% 3.5 7.9 1.8 13.2
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.17% — higher than 70% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 13.2 pts — higher than 60% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Extreme USDJPY 4H

Sample: 18,247 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-09-23
Number of Bull Extreme occurrences: 820 times

When USDJPY is in Bull Extreme:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 0 times0%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 820 times100%

Current USDJPY market energy: 81.89%

  • Distance to peak 100%: 18.11%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 7.39%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · H4 · 2026-09-23 21:00 UTC
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Market Energy
95.0%
Bull Extreme
81.9%
Bull Extreme
Expected at
12:10
Zone
74.5 – 100
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Measurement result after the 4H candle closes, USDJPY noted at the peak Bull energy zone.

Market trend energy Market Energy dropped -13.2% from the previous candle, from 95% to 81.9%.

Time in Bull Extreme energy zone: 5 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from -5.1 to +95.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 04:00 on 24-09-2026 closed, USDJPY was at 158.0675, down 0.17% from the previous candle (158.336). Market Energy was 81.9%, down 13.2 points from 95%, in the Bull Extreme state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 158.0675, down 0.17% from the previous 4H candle (158.336). This drop is larger than 70% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USDJPY, across 12,037 candles since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 13.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from 95% to 81.9%. This drop is larger than 60% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USDJPY.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USDJPY at 95%, Bull Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Bull Extreme zone?

At 81.9%, USDJPY is 18.11 points from the upper boundary of Bull Extreme (100%) and 7.39 points from the lower boundary (74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Extreme mean?

Bull Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -59.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -55.9%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Bull Extreme, 81.9%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 51.9%. USDJPY (Bull Extreme) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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