Analysis

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Price and energy
USDJPY from 155.102 to 155.367, up 0.17%
Market Energy Bull Critical 66.3% to Bull Extreme 74.7%, up 8.4 pts
Up candle #3 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.01%0.06%0.02%0.17%
Energy5.30.61.58.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.01% 0.06% 0.02% 0.17% 5.3 0.6 1.5 8.4
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.17% — higher than 72% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 8.4 pts — higher than 42% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Extreme USDJPY 4H

Sample: 18,210 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-09-15
Number of Bull Extreme occurrences: 817 times

When USDJPY is in Bull Extreme:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 0 times0%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 817 times100%

Current USDJPY market energy: 74.75%

  • Distance to peak 100%: 25.25%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 0.25%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · H4 · 2026-09-15 21:00 UTC
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Market Energy
66.3%
Bull Critical
74.7%
Bull Extreme
Expected at
12:10
Zone
74.5 – 100
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Measurement result after the 4H candle closes, USDJPY within Bull energy at peak level.

Market energy movement Market Energy moved from 66.3% to 74.7%, up +8.4% from the previous candle.

Time in Bull Extreme energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from -68.8 to +97.3.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 04:00 on 16-09-2026 closed, USDJPY was at 155.367, up 0.17% from the previous candle (155.102). Market Energy was 74.7%, up 8.4 points from 66.3%, in the Bull Extreme state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 155.367, up 0.17% from the previous 4H candle (155.102). This rise is larger than 72% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for USDJPY, across 12,001 candles since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 8.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from 66.3% to 74.7%. This rise is larger than 42% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for USDJPY.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price rose and energy rose — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USDJPY at 66.3%, Bull Critical — when this candle closed, USDJPY moved up to a higher zone: Bull Critical → Bull Extreme.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Bull Extreme zone?

At 74.7%, USDJPY is 25.25 points from the upper boundary of Bull Extreme (100%) and 0.25 points from the lower boundary (74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Extreme mean?

Bull Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -32.5%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 37.1%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Bull Extreme, 74.7%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 9%. USDJPY energy is currently above DXY by 65.8 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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