Analysis

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Price and energy
USDJPY from 163.436 to 163.585, up 0.09%
Market Energy Bear Critical -63.7% to Bear Bias -44.9%, up 18.7 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.09% — higher than 49% of past rises
Energy up 18.7 pts — higher than 70% of past rises
Volatility trend · last 4 candlespriceenergy
0.080.050.220.099.17.896.318.7-3-2-1nến này
USDJPY hub
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias USDJPY 4H

Sample: 18,139 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-08-28
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 1,406 times

When USDJPY is in Bear Bias:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 900 times64%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 506 times36%

Current USDJPY market energy: -44.94%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 24.06%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 15.06%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · H4 · 2026-07-29 05:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-63.7%
Bear Critical
-44.9%
Bear Bias
28.1%
Bull Bias
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

With the 4H candle just closed, Result for USDJPY: the Bear Bias energy level.

Meanwhile, Market Energy moved from -63.7% to -44.9%, up +18.7% from the previous candle.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from -63.7 to +67.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What state was USDJPY on 4H when this candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 12:00 on 29-07-2026 closed, USDJPY was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -44.9%, controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 18.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from -63.7% to -44.9%.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USDJPY at -63.7%, Bear Critical — when this candle closed, USDJPY moved up to a higher zone: Bear Critical → Bear Bias.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -44.9%, USDJPY is 24.06 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 15.06 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -39.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -29.4%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Bear Bias, -44.9%) sits in the same state zone as SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Critical with Market Energy -69.6%. USDJPY (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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