Analysis

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Price and energy
USDJPY from 156.25 to 156.044, down 0.13%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 98.3% to Bull Extreme 85.3%, down 13.0 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.09%0.04%0.00%0.13%
Energy0.40.21.513.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.09% 0.04%0.00% 0.13% 0.4 0.2 1.5 13.0
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.13% — higher than 86% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 13.0 pts — higher than 64% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Extreme USDJPY 1H

Sample: 72,890 1H candles from 2015-01-01 to 2026-09-16
Number of Bull Extreme occurrences: 2,565 times

When USDJPY is in Bull Extreme:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 0 times0%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 2,565 times100%

Current USDJPY market energy: 85.27%

  • Distance to peak 100%: 14.73%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 10.77%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · H1 · 2026-09-16 23:00 UTC
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Market Energy
98.3%
Bull Extreme
85.3%
Bull Extreme
78.5%
Bull Extreme
Zone
74.5 – 100
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

From the just-closed 1H candle data, Result for USDJPY: the trend energy Bull Extreme.

Market trend update: A -13% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now 85.3% (previous: 98.3%).

Time in Bull Extreme energy zone: 6 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from -82.9 to +100.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 06:00 on 17-09-2026 closed, USDJPY was at 156.044, down 0.13% from the previous candle (156.25). Market Energy was 85.3%, down 13.0 points from 98.3%, in the Bull Extreme state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 156.044, down 0.13% from the previous 1H candle (156.25). This drop is larger than 86% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for USDJPY, across 48,048 candles since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 13 percentage points from the previous candle — from 98.3% to 85.3%. This drop is larger than 64% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for USDJPY.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had USDJPY at 98.3%, Bull Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Bull Extreme zone?

At 85.3%, USDJPY is 14.73 points from the upper boundary of Bull Extreme (100%) and 10.77 points from the lower boundary (74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Extreme mean?

Bull Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -29.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 51.3%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Bull Extreme, 85.3%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 99.5%. USDJPY (Bull Extreme) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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