Analysis

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Price and energy
USDJPY from 153.667 to 153.655, down 0.01%
Market Energy Bull Bias 37.4% to Bull Critical 72.8%, up 35.4 pts
Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.04%0.15%0.36%0.01%
Energy23.110.390.135.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.04% 0.15% 0.36% 0.01% 23.1 10.3 90.1 35.4
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.01% — higher than 11% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy up 35.4 pts — higher than 88% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical USDJPY 1H

Sample: 72,855 1H candles from 2015-01-01 to 2026-09-15
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 3,623 times

When USDJPY is in Bull Critical:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 1,191 times32.9%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 2,432 times67.1%

Current USDJPY market energy: 72.79%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 1.71%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 12.79%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · H1 · 2026-09-09 09:00 UTC
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Market Energy
37.4%
Bull Bias
72.8%
Bull Critical
59.4%
Bull Bias
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

USDJPY recorded in the near-extreme Bull energy zone as the 1H candle ended.

On the measurement side, Energy delta +35.4%: Market Energy at 72.8%, previously 37.4%.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from -100 to +72.8.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 16:00 on 09-09-2026 closed, USDJPY was at 153.655, down 0.01% from the previous candle (153.667). Market Energy was 72.8%, up 35.4 points from 37.4%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 153.655, down 0.01% from the previous 1H candle (153.667). This drop is larger than 11% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for USDJPY, across 47,914 candles since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 35.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from 37.4% to 72.8%. This rise is larger than 88% of past rises on the 1H timeframe for USDJPY.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

No. This candle recorded a price decline with energy moving the other way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had USDJPY at 37.4%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, USDJPY moved up to a higher zone: Bull Bias → Bull Critical.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 72.8%, USDJPY is 1.71 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 12.79 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -90.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -92.9%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Bull Critical, 72.8%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 92.4%. USDJPY (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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