Analysis

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Price and energy
USDJPY from 156.4195 to 156.488, up 0.04%
Market Energy Bull Bias 57.5% to Bull Critical 62.1%, up 4.6 pts
Up candle #3 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.03%0.02%0.07%0.04%
Energy17.34.613.84.6
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.03% 0.02% 0.07% 0.04% 17.3 4.6 13.8 4.6
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.04% — higher than 50% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 4.6 pts — higher than 31% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical USDJPY 1H

Sample: 72,928 1H candles from 2015-01-01 to 2026-09-18
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 3,630 times

When USDJPY is in Bull Critical:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 1,195 times32.9%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 2,435 times67.1%

Current USDJPY market energy: 62.09%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 12.41%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 2.09%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · H1 · 2026-09-04 09:00 UTC
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Market Energy
57.5%
Bull Bias
62.1%
Bull Critical
42.7%
Bull Bias
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

USDJPY recorded in the near-peak Bull energy state as the 1H candle ended.

Looking at the Market Energy reading, Market Energy moved from 57.5% to 62.1%, up +4.6% from the previous candle.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from -97.1 to +96.3.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 16:00 on 04-09-2026 closed, USDJPY was at 156.488, up 0.04% from the previous candle (156.4195). Market Energy was 62.1%, up 4.6 points from 57.5%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 156.488, up 0.04% from the previous 1H candle (156.4195). This rise is larger than 50% of past rises on the 1H timeframe for USDJPY, across 47,842 candles since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 4.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from 57.5% to 62.1%. This rise is larger than 31% of past rises on the 1H timeframe for USDJPY.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved up on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had USDJPY at 57.5%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, USDJPY moved up to a higher zone: Bull Bias → Bull Critical.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 62.1%, USDJPY is 12.41 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 2.09 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy 17.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy -17.9%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Bull Critical, 62.1%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 40.1%. USDJPY (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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