Analysis

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Price and energy
USDJPY from 159.461 to 159.41, down 0.03%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 80.4% to Bull Critical 72.1%, down 8.3 pts
Down candle #3 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.03% — higher than 40% of past drops
Energy down 8.3 pts — higher than 50% of past drops
Volatility trend · last 4 candlespriceenergy
0.060.080.000.0315.511.47.58.3-3-2-1nến này
USDJPY hub
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical USDJPY 1H

Sample: 72,576 1H candles from 2015-01-01 to 2026-08-28
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 3,611 times

When USDJPY is in Bull Critical:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 1,188 times32.9%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 2,423 times67.1%

Current USDJPY market energy: 72.1%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 2.4%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 12.1%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · H1 · 2026-08-17 21:00 UTC
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Market Energy
80.4%
Bull Extreme
72.1%
Bull Critical
66.7%
Bull Critical
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Bull energy near extreme is the result just recorded for USDJPY after the 1H candle closed.

Looking at the energy level, The energy level dropped -8.3%: from 80.4% now at 72.1%.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from -71.6 to +99.3.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What state was USDJPY on 1H when this candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 04:00 on 18-08-2026 closed, USDJPY was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 72.1%, controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 8.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from 80.4% to 72.1%.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had USDJPY at 80.4%, Bull Extreme — when this candle closed, USDJPY moved down to a lower zone: Bull Extreme → Bull Critical.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 72.1%, USDJPY is 2.4 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 12.1 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -91.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -74.9%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Bull Critical, 72.1%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 39%. USDJPY (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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