Analysis

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Price and energy
USDJPY from 158.327 to 157.394, down 0.59%
Market Energy Neutral -16.3% to Bear Critical -67.1%, down 50.9 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.59% — largest on record (since 2019)
Energy down 50.9 pts — higher than 93% of past drops
Volatility trend · last 4 candlespriceenergy
0.020.030.010.5912.820.01.750.9-3-2-1nến này
USDJPY hub
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical USDJPY 1H

Sample: 72,576 1H candles from 2015-01-01 to 2026-08-28
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 3,051 times

When USDJPY is in Bear Critical:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 2,194 times71.9%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 857 times28.1%

Current USDJPY market energy: -67.13%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 7.13%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 7.37%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · H1 · 2026-08-07 12:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-16.3%
Neutral
-67.1%
Bear Critical
-52.4%
Bear Bias
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

USDJPY processing result: the Bear Critical state after the 1H candle closed.

Market energy movement Market Energy at -67.1%, down -50.9% from -16.3% in the previous candle.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from -91.1 to +99.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What state was USDJPY on 1H when this candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 19:00 on 07-08-2026 closed, USDJPY was in Bear Critical with Market Energy -67.1%, controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 50.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from -16.3% to -67.1%.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had USDJPY at -16.3%, Neutral — when this candle closed, USDJPY moved down to a lower zone: Neutral → Bear Critical.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -67.1%, USDJPY is 7.13 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 7.37 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 89.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 88.5%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Bear Critical, -67.1%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -93%. USDJPY (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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