Analysis

·

Price and energy
USDJPY from 157.545 to 157.705, up 0.10%
Market Energy Bull Critical 68.5% to Bull Critical 70.3%, up 1.8 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.10% — higher than 80% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 1.8 pts — higher than 14% of past rises
Trend & volatility · last 4 candles
0.08% 0.04% 0.07% 0.10% 14.3 12.9 11.6 1.8
priceenergy up · down
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical USDJPY 1H

Sample: 72,576 1H candles from 2015-01-01 to 2026-08-28
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 3,611 times

When USDJPY is in Bull Critical:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 1,188 times32.9%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 2,423 times67.1%

Current USDJPY market energy: 70.34%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 4.16%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 10.34%

"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · H1 · 2026-08-04 05:00 UTC
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Market Energy
68.5%
Bull Critical
70.3%
Bull Critical
67.4%
Bull Critical
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

With the 1H candle just closed, Market Energy of USDJPY indicates the Bull Critical zone.

On trend energy, The energy level rose +1.8%: from 68.5% now at 70.3%.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from -98.2 to +93.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What state was USDJPY on 1H when this candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 12:00 on 04-08-2026 closed, USDJPY was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 70.3%, controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 1.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from 68.5% to 70.3%.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had USDJPY at 68.5%, Bull Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 70.3%, USDJPY is 4.16 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 10.34 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 78.4%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 39.8%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Bull Critical, 70.3%) has higher energy than GER40; lower than SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 47.7%. USDJPY (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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