Analysis

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Price and energy
USDJPY from 162.958 to 159.75, down 1.97%
Market Energy Bear Bias -55.5% to Bear Extreme -98.2%, down 42.6 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.97% — largest on record (since 2019)
Energy down 42.6 pts — higher than 91% of past drops
Volatility trend · last 4 candlespriceenergy
0.300.040.041.972.17.312.142.6-3-2-1nến này
USDJPY hub
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme USDJPY 1H

Sample: 72,576 1H candles from 2015-01-01 to 2026-08-28
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 2,145 times

When USDJPY is in Bear Extreme:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 2,145 times100%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 0 times0%

Current USDJPY market energy: -98.18%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 23.68%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 1.82%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · H1 · 2026-07-30 13:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-55.5%
Bear Bias
-98.2%
Bear Extreme
-97.0%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

After the system processes the 1H candle, USDJPY recorded in the Extreme state of Bear.

Market energy measurement Market Energy dropped -42.6% from the previous candle, from -55.5% to -98.2%.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from -98.2 to +87.2.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What state was USDJPY on 1H when this candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 20:00 on 30-07-2026 closed, USDJPY was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -98.2%, controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 42.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from -55.5% to -98.2%.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had USDJPY at -55.5%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, USDJPY moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Extreme.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -98.2%, USDJPY is 23.68 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 1.82 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 94.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 80.6%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Bear Extreme, -98.2%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -97.5%. USDJPY (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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