Analysis

USDCHF 0.81996 ↓0.36%: Bears in the peak-force zone · 4H 16:00 Oct 22, 2026

·
Candle close
Price and energy
Open 0.82297 · High 0.82303 · Low 0.81918 · Close 0.81996 · Range (high − low) 0.003855
USDCHF closed at 0.81996, down 0.003 (-0.36%) from 0.82296.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bear Bias zone at -46.0% to Bear Extreme at -86.3%, down 40.4 points.
Second straight down candle, price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price0.824420.824430.822960.81996
Energy-33.3%-31.7%-46.0%-86.3%
Price change↑ 0.00%↑ 0.00%↓ 0.18%↓ 0.36%
Energy change↑ 2.9↑ 1.6↓ 14.3↓ 40.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 0.00%↑ 0.00%↓ 0.18%↓ 0.36%↑ 2.9↑ 1.6↓ 14.3↓ 40.4
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.36% — higher than 94% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 40.4 pts — higher than 94% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme USDCHF 4H

Sample: 18,365 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-10-22
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 265 times

▸When USDCHF is in Bear Extreme:

  • then USDCHF moved to higher Market State: 265 times — 100%
  • then USDCHF moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%

▸Current USDCHF market energy: -86.34%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 11.84%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 13.66%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

USDCHF · H4 · 2026-10-22 05:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live USDCHF chart →
Market Energy
-46.0%
Bear Bias
-86.3%
Bear Extreme
-59.9%
Bear Bias
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Bear Extreme determined for USDCHF through the 4H candle data.

The USDCHF market at session end, Market Energy dropped -40.4% this candle, currently -86.3% (previous candle -46%).

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDCHF Market Energy ranged from -86.3 to 51.6.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDCHF price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 16:00 on 22-10-2026, USDCHF was at 0.81996, down 0.36% from the previous candle (0.82296). Market Energy was -86.3%, down 40.4 points from -46%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did USDCHF price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDCHF closed at 0.81996, down 0.36% from the previous 4H candle (0.82296). This drop is larger than 94% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USDCHF, across 12,159 candles since 2019.

How did USDCHF Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 40.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from -46% to -86.3%. This drop is larger than 94% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USDCHF.

Do USDCHF price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was USDCHF in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USDCHF at -46%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, USDCHF moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Extreme.

Where does USDCHF energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -86.3%, USDCHF is 11.84 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 13.66 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -83.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -58.9%. Against this backdrop, USDCHF (Bear Extreme, -86.3%) lower than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -82.2%. USDCHF (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDCHF.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDCHF on the USDCHF overview →

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