Analysis

USDCHF 0.83234 ↑0.23%: Bulls very strong · 4H 16:00 Oct 12, 2026

·
Candle close
Price and energy
Open 0.83043 · High 0.83244 · Low 0.8302 · Close 0.83234 · Range (high − low) 0.002245
USDCHF closed at 0.83234, up 0.001905 (+0.23%) from 0.83044.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bear Bias zone at -37.0% to Bull Critical at 71.7%, up 108.7 points.
Second straight up candle, price and energy are moving up together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price0.830210.829460.830440.83234
Energy-34.1%-49.4%-37.0%71.7%
Price change↓ 0.00%↓ 0.09%↑ 0.12%↑ 0.23%
Energy change↓ 13.7↓ 15.3↑ 12.4↑ 108.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↓ 0.00%↓ 0.09%↑ 0.12%↑ 0.23%↓ 13.7↓ 15.3↑ 12.4↑ 108.7
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.23% — higher than 84% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 108.7 pts — largest on record (since 2019)
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical USDCHF 4H

Sample: 18,345 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-10-16
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 642 times

▸When USDCHF is in Bull Critical:

  • then USDCHF moved to higher Market State: 164 times — 25.5%
  • then USDCHF moved to lower Market State: 478 times — 74.5%

▸Current USDCHF market energy: 71.69%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 2.81%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 11.69%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

USDCHF · H4 · 2026-10-12 05:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live USDCHF chart →
Market Energy
-37.0%
Bear Bias
71.7%
Bull Critical
96.3%
Bull Extreme
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

With the 4H candle just closed, Market USDCHF in Bull Critical.

On the 2AiTrading energy system, Market Energy at 71.7%, up +108.7% from -37% in the previous candle.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDCHF Market Energy ranged from -51.4 to 71.7.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDCHF price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 16:00 on 12-10-2026, USDCHF was at 0.83234, up 0.23% from the previous candle (0.83044). Market Energy was 71.7%, up 108.7 points from -37%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did USDCHF price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDCHF closed at 0.83234, up 0.23% from the previous 4H candle (0.83044). This rise is larger than 84% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for USDCHF, across 12,111 candles since 2019.

How did USDCHF Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 108.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from -37% to 71.7%. This is the largest of all rises on the 4H timeframe for USDCHF on record since 2019.

Do USDCHF price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving up in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USDCHF in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USDCHF at -37%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, USDCHF moved up to a higher zone: Bear Bias → Bull Critical.

Where does USDCHF energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 71.7%, USDCHF is 2.81 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 11.69 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Critical with energy 61.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 21.7%. Against this backdrop, USDCHF (Bull Critical, 71.7%) has higher energy than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 3.9%. USDCHF energy is currently above DXY by 67.8 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDCHF.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDCHF on the USDCHF overview →

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