Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
USDCHF from 0.83203 to 0.83223, up 0.02%
Market Energy Bull Critical 66.7% to Bull Critical 65.9%, down 0.8 pts
Up candle #2 in a row—Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.09%▼ 0.01%▲ 0.03%▲ 0.02%
Energy▲ 7.7▼ 13.5▼ 4.9▼ 0.8
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.09%▼ 0.01%▲ 0.03%▲ 0.02%▲ 7.7▼ 13.5▼ 4.9▼ 0.8
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.02% — higher than 15% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy down 0.8 pts — higher than 5% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical USDCHF 4H

Sample: 18,261 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-09-28
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 633 times

▸When USDCHF is in Bull Critical:

  • then USDCHF moved to higher Market State: 160 times — 25.3%
  • then USDCHF moved to lower Market State: 473 times — 74.7%

▸Current USDCHF market energy: 65.93%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 8.57%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 5.93%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

USDCHF · H4 · 2026-09-28 21:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
66.7%
Bull Critical
65.9%
Bull Critical
Expected at
12:10
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Right as the 4H candle closes, USDCHF in Bull Critical of Market Energy.

At the 4H session close, A -0.8% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now 65.9% (previous: 66.7%).

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDCHF Market Energy ranged from +31.8 to +91.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDCHF price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 04:00 on 29-09-2026 closed, USDCHF was at 0.83223, up 0.02% from the previous candle (0.83203). Market Energy was 65.9%, down 0.8 points from 66.7%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did USDCHF price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDCHF closed at 0.83223, up 0.02% from the previous 4H candle (0.83203). This rise is larger than 15% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for USDCHF, across 12,055 candles since 2019.

How did USDCHF Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 0.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from 66.7% to 65.9%. This drop is larger than 5% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USDCHF.

Do USDCHF price and energy agree?

No. On this candle price rose but energy fell — the two moved in opposite directions. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was USDCHF in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USDCHF at 66.7%, Bull Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does USDCHF energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 65.9%, USDCHF is 8.57 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 5.93 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -51.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 30.1%. Against this backdrop, USDCHF (Bull Critical, 65.9%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 29.8%. USDCHF (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDCHF.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDCHF on the USDCHF overview →

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