Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
USDCHF from 0.82252 to 0.82314, up 0.07%
Market Energy Bear Critical -67.6% to Bear Bias -57.3%, up 10.3 pts
Up candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.25%0.08%0.05%0.07%
Energy84.434.813.610.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.25% 0.08% 0.05% 0.07% 84.4 34.8 13.6 10.3
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.07% — higher than 44% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 10.3 pts — higher than 56% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias USDCHF 4H

Sample: 18,225 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-09-18
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 1,337 times

When USDCHF is in Bear Bias:

  • then USDCHF moved to higher Market State: 936 times70%
  • then USDCHF moved to lower Market State: 401 times30%

Current USDCHF market energy: -57.31%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 36.43%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 2.69%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

USDCHF · H4 · 2026-09-21 01:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-67.6%
Bear Critical
-57.3%
Bear Bias
-42.3%
Bear Bias
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

After the system processes the 4H candle, Market USDCHF in the Market Energy state leaning Bear.

Market movement after the 4H candle closes, Compared to the previous candle (-67.6%), Market Energy rose +10.3% to -57.3%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDCHF Market Energy ranged from -81.2 to +99.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDCHF price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 08:00 on 21-09-2026 closed, USDCHF was at 0.82314, up 0.07% from the previous candle (0.82252). Market Energy was -57.3%, up 10.3 points from -67.6%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did USDCHF price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDCHF closed at 0.82314, up 0.07% from the previous 4H candle (0.82252). This rise is larger than 44% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for USDCHF, across 12,020 candles since 2019.

How did USDCHF Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 10.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from -67.6% to -57.3%. This rise is larger than 56% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for USDCHF.

Do USDCHF price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved up on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USDCHF in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USDCHF at -67.6%, Bear Critical — when this candle closed, USDCHF moved up to a higher zone: Bear Critical → Bear Bias.

Where does USDCHF energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -57.3%, USDCHF is 36.43 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 2.69 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 84.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 90.3%. Against this backdrop, USDCHF (Bear Bias, -57.3%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -39.7%. USDCHF (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDCHF.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDCHF on the USDCHF overview →

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