Analysis

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Price and energy
USDCHF from 0.81863 to 0.81878, up 0.02%
Market Energy Bull Bias 21.3% to Neutral 16.8%, down 4.6 pts
Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.02%0.07%0.08%0.02%
Energy2.29.89.64.6
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.02% 0.07% 0.08% 0.02% 2.2 9.8 9.6 4.6
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.02% — higher than 11% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy down 4.6 pts — higher than 30% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral USDCHF 4H

Sample: 18,209 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-09-16
Number of Neutral occurrences: 1,787 times

When USDCHF is in Neutral:

  • then USDCHF moved to higher Market State: 897 times50.2%
  • then USDCHF moved to lower Market State: 890 times49.8%

Current USDCHF market energy: 16.78%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 4.1%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 37.66%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

USDCHF · H4 · 2026-09-16 05:00 UTC
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Market Energy
21.3%
Bull Bias
16.8%
Neutral
Expected at
20:10
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

USDCHF recorded in the neutral energy level as the 4H candle ended.

The energy side shows Market Energy reading dropped -4.6%, moving from 21.3% to 16.8% after the 4H candle.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDCHF Market Energy ranged from -28.6 to +90.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDCHF price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 12:00 on 16-09-2026 closed, USDCHF was at 0.81878, up 0.02% from the previous candle (0.81863). Market Energy was 16.8%, down 4.6 points from 21.3%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did USDCHF price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDCHF closed at 0.81878, up 0.02% from the previous 4H candle (0.81863). This rise is larger than 11% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for USDCHF, across 12,003 candles since 2019.

How did USDCHF Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 4.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from 21.3% to 16.8%. This drop is larger than 30% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USDCHF.

Do USDCHF price and energy agree?

No. Price moved up while energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USDCHF in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USDCHF at 21.3%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, USDCHF moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Neutral.

Where does USDCHF energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At 16.8%, USDCHF is 4.1 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 37.66 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy 20%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 22.3%. Against this backdrop, USDCHF (Neutral, 16.8%) lower than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -50.3%. USDCHF energy is currently above DXY by 67.1 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDCHF.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDCHF on the USDCHF overview →

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