Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
USDCHF from 0.83571 to 0.83357, down 0.26%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 93.3% to Bear Bias -36.7%, down 130.0 pts
Down candle #2 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.03%▲ 0.16%▼ 0.00%▼ 0.26%
Energy▲ 9.4▲ 43.2▲ 4.6▼ 130.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.03%▲ 0.16%▼ 0.00%▼ 0.26%▲ 9.4▲ 43.2▲ 4.6▼ 130.0
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.26% — higher than 97% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 130.0 pts — largest on record (since 2019)
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias USDCHF 1H

Sample: 73,078 1H candles from 2015-01-01 to 2026-09-29
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 5,160 times

▸When USDCHF is in Bear Bias:

  • then USDCHF moved to higher Market State: 3,616 times — 70.1%
  • then USDCHF moved to lower Market State: 1,544 times — 29.9%

▸Current USDCHF market energy: -36.67%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 15.79%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 23.33%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

USDCHF · H1 · 2026-09-29 18:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
93.3%
Bull Extreme
-36.7%
Bear Bias
Expected at
03:10
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

As the 1H candle completes, USDCHF reflects the Bear Bias level.

Market energy movement Market Energy at -36.7%, down -130% from 93.3% in the previous candle.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDCHF Market Energy ranged from -59.4 to +99.8.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDCHF price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 01:00 on 30-09-2026 closed, USDCHF was at 0.83357, down 0.26% from the previous candle (0.83571). Market Energy was -36.7%, down 130.0 points from 93.3%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did USDCHF price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDCHF closed at 0.83357, down 0.26% from the previous 1H candle (0.83571). This drop is larger than 97% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for USDCHF, across 48,263 candles since 2019.

How did USDCHF Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 130 percentage points from the previous candle — from 93.3% to -36.7%. This is the largest of all drops on the 1H timeframe for USDCHF on record since 2019.

Do USDCHF price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was USDCHF in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had USDCHF at 93.3%, Bull Extreme — when this candle closed, USDCHF moved down to a lower zone: Bull Extreme → Bear Bias.

Where does USDCHF energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -36.7%, USDCHF is 15.79 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 23.33 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -23.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -63.1%. Against this backdrop, USDCHF (Bear Bias, -36.7%) has higher energy than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -23.8%. USDCHF (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDCHF.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDCHF on the USDCHF overview →

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