Analysis

USDCAD 1.4021 ↑0.02%: Bulls & Bears in a tug-of-war · 4H 00:00 Oct 27, 2026

·
Candle close
Price and energy
Open 1.4018 · High 1.4056 · Low 1.4017 · Close 1.4021 · Range (high − low) 0.00389
USDCAD closed at 1.4021, up 0.00028 (+0.02%) from 1.4018.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Neutral zone at -10.5% to Neutral at -13.1%, down 2.6 points.
Fourth straight up candle, energy diverges from price.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price1.40071.40171.40181.4021
Energy-36.5%-22.3%-10.5%-13.1%
Price change↑ 0.02%↑ 0.07%↑ 0.01%↑ 0.02%
Energy change↓ 15.1↑ 14.3↑ 11.7↓ 2.6
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 0.02%↑ 0.07%↑ 0.01%↑ 0.02%↓ 15.1↑ 14.3↑ 11.7↓ 2.6
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.02% — higher than 15% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy down 2.6 pts — higher than 18% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral USDCAD 4H

Sample: 18,381 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-10-26
Number of Neutral occurrences: 1,882 times

▸When USDCAD is in Neutral:

  • then USDCAD moved to higher Market State: 958 times — 50.9%
  • then USDCAD moved to lower Market State: 924 times — 49.1%

▸Current USDCAD market energy: -13.13%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 34.01%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 7.75%

"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING

USDCAD · H4 · 2026-10-26 13:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live USDCAD chart →
Market Energy
-10.5%
Neutral
-13.1%
Neutral
Expected at
04:10
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

Following the completion of the 4H candle, USDCAD currently in the balanced Market Energy zone.

Market trend on the 2AiTrading energy system Compared to the previous candle (-10.5%), Market Energy dropped -2.6% to -13.1%.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 2 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDCAD Market Energy ranged from -97.6 to -10.5.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDCAD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 00:00 on 26-10-2026, USDCAD was at 1.4021, up 0.02% from the previous candle (1.4018). Market Energy was -13.1%, down 2.6 points from -10.5%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did USDCAD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDCAD closed at 1.4021, up 0.02% from the previous 4H candle (1.4018). This rise is larger than 15% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for USDCAD, across 12,173 candles since 2019.

How did USDCAD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 2.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from -10.5% to -13.1%. This drop is larger than 18% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USDCAD.

Do USDCAD price and energy agree?

No. On this candle price rose but energy fell — the two moved in opposite directions. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was USDCAD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USDCAD at -10.5%, Neutral — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does USDCAD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At -13.1%, USDCAD is 34.01 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 7.75 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy 4.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 72.4%. Against this backdrop, USDCAD (Neutral, -13.1%) lower than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 93.9%. USDCAD energy is currently below DXY by 107 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDCAD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDCAD on the USDCAD overview →

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