Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
USDCAD from 1.4251 to 1.4256, up 0.03%
Market Energy Neutral 7.8% to Neutral 16.2%, up 8.4 pts
Up candle #2 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.18%▼ 0.28%▲ 0.05%▲ 0.03%
Energy▲ 15.6▼ 45.3▼ 27.2▲ 8.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.18%▼ 0.28%▲ 0.05%▲ 0.03%▲ 15.6▼ 45.3▼ 27.2▲ 8.4
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.03% — higher than 23% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 8.4 pts — higher than 47% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral USDCAD 4H

Sample: 18,289 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-10-05
Number of Neutral occurrences: 1,879 times

▸When USDCAD is in Neutral:

  • then USDCAD moved to higher Market State: 957 times — 50.9%
  • then USDCAD moved to lower Market State: 922 times — 49.1%

▸Current USDCAD market energy: 16.19%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 4.69%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 37.07%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

USDCAD · H4 · 2026-10-05 13:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
7.8%
Neutral
16.2%
Neutral
Expected at
04:10
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

As the 4H candle completes, Result for USDCAD: the Neutral level.

Looking at the energy level, Market Energy rose +8.4% from the previous session, from 7.8% to 16.2%.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 2 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDCAD Market Energy ranged from -36.6 to +98.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDCAD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 20:00 on 05-10-2026 closed, USDCAD was at 1.4256, up 0.03% from the previous candle (1.4251). Market Energy was 16.2%, up 8.4 points from 7.8%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did USDCAD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDCAD closed at 1.4256, up 0.03% from the previous 4H candle (1.4251). This rise is larger than 23% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for USDCAD, across 12,083 candles since 2019.

How did USDCAD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 8.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from 7.8% to 16.2%. This rise is larger than 47% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for USDCAD.

Do USDCAD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved up on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USDCAD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USDCAD at 7.8%, Neutral — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does USDCAD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At 16.2%, USDCAD is 4.69 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 37.07 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 51.4%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 41.6%. Against this backdrop, USDCAD (Neutral, 16.2%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 54.5%. USDCAD energy is currently below DXY by 38.3 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDCAD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDCAD on the USDCAD overview →

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