Analysis

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Price and energy
USDCAD from 1.3881 to 1.386, down 0.15%
Market Energy Neutral 18.1% to Bear Bias -34.2%, down 52.3 pts
Down candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.07%0.07%0.13%0.15%
Energy21.40.131.852.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.07% 0.07% 0.13% 0.15% 21.4 0.1 31.8 52.3
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.15% — higher than 74% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 52.3 pts — higher than 98% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias USDCAD 4H

Sample: 18,199 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-09-14
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 1,372 times

When USDCAD is in Bear Bias:

  • then USDCAD moved to higher Market State: 953 times69.5%
  • then USDCAD moved to lower Market State: 419 times30.5%

Current USDCAD market energy: -34.19%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 13.31%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 25.81%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

USDCAD · H4 · 2026-08-31 13:00 UTC
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Market Energy
18.1%
Neutral
-34.2%
Bear Bias
-50.6%
Bear Bias
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

From the just-closed 4H candle data, USDCAD in the energy zone tilted toward Bear.

On the energy side, Market trend energy recorded a -52.3% drop from the previous candle, from 18.1% to -34.2%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDCAD Market Energy ranged from -47.2 to +81.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDCAD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 20:00 on 31-08-2026 closed, USDCAD was at 1.386, down 0.15% from the previous candle (1.3881). Market Energy was -34.2%, down 52.3 points from 18.1%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did USDCAD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDCAD closed at 1.386, down 0.15% from the previous 4H candle (1.3881). This drop is larger than 74% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USDCAD, across 11,933 candles since 2019.

How did USDCAD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 52.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from 18.1% to -34.2%. This drop is larger than 98% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USDCAD.

Do USDCAD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USDCAD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USDCAD at 18.1%, Neutral — when this candle closed, USDCAD moved down to a lower zone: Neutral → Bear Bias.

Where does USDCAD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -34.2%, USDCAD is 13.31 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 25.81 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -72%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -62.9%. Against this backdrop, USDCAD (Bear Bias, -34.2%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -18.1%. USDCAD energy is currently below DXY by 16.1 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDCAD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDCAD on the USDCAD overview →

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