Analysis

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Candle open
Price and energy
USD Stock from 16.7 to 16.5, down 1.20%
Market Energy Bull Bias 46.6% to Bear Critical -67.8%, down 114.4 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.00%0.00%0.60%1.20%
Energy0.00.03.3114.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.00%0.00% 0.60% 1.20% 0.0 0.0 3.3 114.4
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.20% — higher than 43% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 114.4 pts — higher than 94% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical USD Stock Daily

Sample: 1,347 Daily candles from 2019-01-31 to 2026-09-21
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 36 times

When USD Stock is in Bear Critical:

  • then USD Stock moved to higher Market State: 22 times61.1%
  • then USD Stock moved to lower Market State: 14 times38.9%

Current USD Stock market energy: -67.83%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 7.83%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 6.67%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

USD · D1 · 2026-09-16 02:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
46.6%
Bull Bias
-67.8%
Bear Critical
63.7%
Bull Critical
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

As the Daily candle completes, USD Stock in the Bear Critical state.

On trend energy, A -114.4% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now -67.8% (previous: 46.6%).

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USD Stock Market Energy ranged from -67.8 to +46.6.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USD Stock price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 09:00 on 16-09-2026 closed, USD Stock was at 16.5, down 1.2% from the previous candle (16.7). Market Energy was -67.8%, down 114.4 points from 46.6%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did USD price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

USD closed at 16.5, down 1.2% from the previous Daily candle (16.7). This drop is larger than 43% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for USD, across 1,343 candles since 2019.

How did USD Stock Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 114.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from 46.6% to -67.8%. This drop is larger than 94% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for USD.

Do USD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was USD Stock in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had USD Stock at 46.6%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, USD Stock moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Bear Critical.

Where does USD Stock energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -67.8%, USD Stock is 7.83 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 6.67 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: VNINDEX (Vietnam equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 99.7%; VN30 (VN30 basket) in Bull Critical with energy 70.9%. Against this backdrop, USD Stock (Bear Critical, -67.8%) lower than VNINDEX, VN30.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 4.3%. USD Stock energy is currently below DXY by 72.1 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USD Stock.

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Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USD on the USD Stock overview →

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