Analysis

US30 Index 51,518 points ↑0.02%: Bears in the peak-force zone · 4H 00:00 Oct 15, 2026

·
Candle close
Price and energy
Open 51,674.85 · High 51,894.55 · Low 51,480.5 · Close 51,518 · Range (high − low) 414.05
US30 Index closed at 51,518 points, up 8.15 (+0.02%) from 51,509.85.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bear Critical zone at -74.2% to Bear Extreme at -77.2%, down 3.0 points.
Energy diverges from price.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price51,77651,84651,51051,518
Energy-70.1%-30.2%-74.2%-77.2%
Price change↑ 0.22%↑ 0.14%↓ 0.65%↑ 0.02%
Energy change↑ 10.8↑ 39.8↓ 44.0↓ 3.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 0.22%↑ 0.14%↓ 0.65%↑ 0.02%↑ 10.8↑ 39.8↓ 44.0↓ 3.0
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.02% — higher than 6% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy down 3.0 pts — higher than 21% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme US30 Index 4H

Sample: 18,208 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-10-20
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 638 times

▸When US30 Index is in Bear Extreme:

  • then US30 Index moved to higher Market State: 638 times — 100%
  • then US30 Index moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%

▸Current US30 Index market energy: -77.19%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 2.69%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 22.81%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

US30 · H4 · 2026-10-14 13:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live US30 chart →
Market Energy
-74.2%
Bear Critical
-77.2%
Bear Extreme
-65.1%
Bear Critical
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Reading from the 4H candle, US30 Index in the Bear Extreme energy zone.

Market trend energy Market Energy reading dropped -3%, moving from -74.2% to -77.2% after the 4H candle.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, US30 Index Market Energy ranged from -85.1 to 99.3.

Frequently asked questions

What did US30 Index price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 00:00 on 14-10-2026, US30 Index was at 51,518, up 0.02% from the previous candle (51,509.85). Market Energy was -77.2%, down 3.0 points from -74.2%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did US30 price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

US30 closed at 51,518, up 0.02% from the previous 4H candle (51,509.85). This rise is larger than 6% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for US30, across 12,010 candles since 2019.

How did US30 Index Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 3 percentage points from the previous candle — from -74.2% to -77.2%. This drop is larger than 21% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for US30.

Do US30 price and energy agree?

No. Price moved up while energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was US30 Index in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had US30 Index at -74.2%, Bear Critical — when this candle closed, US30 Index moved down to a lower zone: Bear Critical → Bear Extreme.

Where does US30 Index energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -77.2%, US30 Index is 2.69 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 22.81 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -99.9%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -42.8%. Against this backdrop, US30 Index (Bear Extreme, -77.2%) lower than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 95.6%. US30 Index (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for US30 Index.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for US30 on the US30 Index overview →

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