Analysis

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Price and energy
US30 Index from 53,263.5 to 53,688.55 points, up 0.80%
Market Energy Bull Critical 62.7% to Bull Extreme 98.3%, up 35.5 pts
Up candle #4 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.06%0.10%0.21%0.80%
Energy4.98.330.135.5
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.06% 0.10% 0.21% 0.80% 4.9 8.3 30.1 35.5
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.80% — higher than 94% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 35.5 pts — higher than 86% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Extreme US30 Index 4H

Sample: 18,042 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-09-09
Number of Bull Extreme occurrences: 788 times

When US30 Index is in Bull Extreme:

  • then US30 Index moved to higher Market State: 0 times0%
  • then US30 Index moved to lower Market State: 788 times100%

Current US30 Index market energy: 98.27%

  • Distance to peak 100%: 1.73%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 23.77%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

US30 · H4 · 2026-09-03 13:00 UTC
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Market Energy
62.7%
Bull Critical
98.3%
Bull Extreme
98.8%
Bull Extreme
Zone
74.5 – 100
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

The extreme Bull energy state is the result just recorded for US30 Index after the 4H candle closed.

At the 4H session close, Energy delta +35.5%: Market Energy at 98.3%, previously 62.7%.

Time in Bull Extreme energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, US30 Index Market Energy ranged from -99 to +98.3.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did US30 Index price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 20:00 on 03-09-2026 closed, US30 Index was at 53,688.55, up 0.8% from the previous candle (53,263.5). Market Energy was 98.3%, up 35.5 points from 62.7%, in the Bull Extreme state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%.

How much did US30 price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

US30 closed at 53,688.55, up 0.8% from the previous 4H candle (53,263.5). This rise is larger than 94% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for US30, across 11,844 candles since 2019.

How did US30 Index Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 35.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from 62.7% to 98.3%. This rise is larger than 86% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for US30.

Do US30 price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved up on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was US30 Index in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had US30 Index at 62.7%, Bull Critical — when this candle closed, US30 Index moved up to a higher zone: Bull Critical → Bull Extreme.

Where does US30 Index energy sit within the Bull Extreme zone?

At 98.3%, US30 Index is 1.73 points from the upper boundary of Bull Extreme (100%) and 23.77 points from the lower boundary (74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Extreme mean?

Bull Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 92.5%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 97.8%. Against this backdrop, US30 Index (Bull Extreme, 98.3%) sits in the same state zone as SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -87%. US30 Index (Bull Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for US30 Index.

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Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for US30 on the US30 Index overview →

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