Analysis

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Price and energy
US30 Index from 52,733 to 52,859 points, up 0.24%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -76.5% to Bear Bias -48.1%, up 28.4 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.07%0.03%0.06%0.24%
Energy1.73.75.328.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.07% 0.03% 0.06% 0.24% 1.7 3.7 5.3 28.4
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.24% — higher than 65% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 28.4 pts — higher than 82% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias US30 Index 4H

Sample: 18,050 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-09-11
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 1,259 times

When US30 Index is in Bear Bias:

  • then US30 Index moved to higher Market State: 798 times63.4%
  • then US30 Index moved to lower Market State: 461 times36.6%

Current US30 Index market energy: -48.09%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 27.21%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 11.91%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

US30 · H4 · 2026-09-02 09:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-76.5%
Bear Extreme
-48.1%
Bear Bias
-7.6%
Neutral
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Observing the completed 4H candle, US30 Index currently in trend energy leaning Bear.

Per the 2AI model, The energy level rose +28.4%: from -76.5% now at -48.1%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, US30 Index Market Energy ranged from -99 to +25.6.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did US30 Index price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 16:00 on 02-09-2026 closed, US30 Index was at 52,859, up 0.24% from the previous candle (52,733). Market Energy was -48.1%, up 28.4 points from -76.5%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did US30 price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

US30 closed at 52,859, up 0.24% from the previous 4H candle (52,733). This rise is larger than 65% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for US30, across 11,837 candles since 2019.

How did US30 Index Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 28.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from -76.5% to -48.1%. This rise is larger than 82% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for US30.

Do US30 price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving up in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was US30 Index in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had US30 Index at -76.5%, Bear Extreme — when this candle closed, US30 Index moved up to a higher zone: Bear Extreme → Bear Bias.

Where does US30 Index energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -48.1%, US30 Index is 27.21 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 11.91 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -78.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -68.9%. Against this backdrop, US30 Index (Bear Bias, -48.1%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 75.7%. US30 Index (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for US30 Index.

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Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for US30 on the US30 Index overview →

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