Analysis

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Price and energy
US30 Index from 52,848.1 to 52,760.9 points, down 0.17%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -99.0% to Bear Extreme -87.8%, up 11.3 pts
Down candle #4 in a rowEnergy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.12%0.48%0.12%0.17%
Energy2.016.65.311.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.12% 0.48% 0.12% 0.17% 2.0 16.6 5.3 11.3
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.17% — higher than 53% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy up 11.3 pts — higher than 57% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme US30 Index 4H

Sample: 18,007 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-09-01
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 626 times

When US30 Index is in Bear Extreme:

  • then US30 Index moved to higher Market State: 626 times100%
  • then US30 Index moved to lower Market State: 0 times0%

Current US30 Index market energy: -87.76%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 13.26%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 12.24%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

US30 · H4 · 2026-09-01 13:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-99.0%
Bear Extreme
-87.8%
Bear Extreme
-87.1%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Observing the completed 4H candle, US30 Index within the Bear Extreme state.

Market trend energy A +11.3% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now -87.8% (previous: -99%).

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 7 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, US30 Index Market Energy ranged from -99 to +25.6.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did US30 Index price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 20:00 on 01-09-2026 closed, US30 Index was at 52,760.9, down 0.17% from the previous candle (52,848.1). Market Energy was -87.8%, up 11.3 points from -99%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did US30 price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

US30 closed at 52,760.9, down 0.17% from the previous 4H candle (52,848.1). This drop is larger than 53% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for US30, across 11,832 candles since 2019.

How did US30 Index Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 11.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from -99% to -87.8%. This rise is larger than 57% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for US30.

Do US30 price and energy agree?

No. On this candle price fell but energy rose — the two moved in opposite directions. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was US30 Index in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had US30 Index at -99%, Bear Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does US30 Index energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -87.8%, US30 Index is 13.26 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 12.24 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -88.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -73%. Against this backdrop, US30 Index (Bear Extreme, -87.8%) lower than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 3.1%. US30 Index energy is currently below DXY by 90.9 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for US30 Index.

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Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for US30 on the US30 Index overview →

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