Analysis

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Price and energy
US30 Index from 53,555.9 to 53,415.4 points, down 0.26%
Market Energy Bear Bias -38.2% to Bear Critical -68.0%, down 29.8 pts
Down candle #3 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.04%0.22%0.01%0.26%
Energy8.244.319.529.8
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.04% 0.22% 0.01% 0.26% 8.2 44.3 19.5 29.8
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.26% — higher than 67% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 29.8 pts — higher than 81% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical US30 Index 4H

Sample: 18,054 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-09-11
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 804 times

When US30 Index is in Bear Critical:

  • then US30 Index moved to higher Market State: 572 times71.1%
  • then US30 Index moved to lower Market State: 232 times28.9%

Current US30 Index market energy: -68.02%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 8.02%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 6.48%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

US30 · H4 · 2026-08-31 01:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-38.2%
Bear Bias
-68.0%
Bear Critical
-52.5%
Bear Bias
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Following the completion of the 4H candle, US30 Index shows the Bear Critical level.

Market energy movement Market Energy dropped -29.8% from the previous candle, from -38.2% to -68%.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, US30 Index Market Energy ranged from -95.1 to +55.1.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did US30 Index price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 08:00 on 31-08-2026 closed, US30 Index was at 53,415.4, down 0.26% from the previous candle (53,555.9). Market Energy was -68%, down 29.8 points from -38.2%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did US30 price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

US30 closed at 53,415.4, down 0.26% from the previous 4H candle (53,555.9). This drop is larger than 67% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for US30, across 11,823 candles since 2019.

How did US30 Index Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 29.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from -38.2% to -68%. This drop is larger than 81% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for US30.

Do US30 price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was US30 Index in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had US30 Index at -38.2%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, US30 Index moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Critical.

Where does US30 Index energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -68%, US30 Index is 8.02 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 6.48 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -73.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -56.6%. Against this backdrop, US30 Index (Bear Critical, -68%) lower than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 51.3%. US30 Index (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for US30 Index.

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Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for US30 on the US30 Index overview →

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