Analysis

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Price and energy
US30 Index from 52,026 to 51,920.9 points, down 0.20%
Market Energy Bear Critical -63.5% to Bear Extreme -83.4%, down 19.9 pts
Down candle #3 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.20% — higher than 59% of past drops
Energy down 19.9 pts — higher than 73% of past drops
Volatility trend · last 4 candlespriceenergy
0.150.030.470.2014.01.453.519.9-3-2-1nến này
US30 hub
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme US30 Index 4H

Sample: 17,998 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-08-28
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 626 times

When US30 Index is in Bear Extreme:

  • then US30 Index moved to higher Market State: 626 times100%
  • then US30 Index moved to lower Market State: 0 times0%

Current US30 Index market energy: -83.42%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 8.92%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 16.58%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

US30 · H4 · 2026-07-20 17:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-63.5%
Bear Critical
-83.4%
Bear Extreme
-80.3%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

After the system processes the 4H candle, Market US30 in the Bear Extreme measurement.

The energy side shows Market Energy moved from -63.5% to -83.4%, down -19.9% from the previous candle.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, US30 Index Market Energy ranged from -87.3 to +14.1.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What state was US30 Index on 4H when this candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 00:00 on 21-07-2026 closed, US30 Index was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -83.4%, controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How did US30 Index Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 19.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from -63.5% to -83.4%.

What state was US30 Index in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had US30 Index at -63.5%, Bear Critical — when this candle closed, US30 Index moved down to a lower zone: Bear Critical → Bear Extreme.

Where does US30 Index energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -83.4%, US30 Index is 8.92 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 16.58 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -54.5%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy -18.9%. Against this backdrop, US30 Index (Bear Extreme, -83.4%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 70.9%. US30 Index (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for US30 Index.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for US30 on the US30 Index overview →

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